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Simply Sam, arrowed, is hard held behind the leaders, with mouth open, close to home.

Magic Man won’t risk being blocked this time on Simply Sam who’s all over a winner

If you backed Simply Sam at his last start it was a hard watch.

But it’s impossible to make a case for anything to beat him when he lines up again at Auckland on Thursday night against a much weaker field.

And one thing’s for sure, driver Maurice McKendry won’t be taking any risks this time with the horse who was blocked for a run for the entire home stretch last time and finished hard held on their backs, a certainty beaten.

Just why McKendry opted to try for an inside run on the home turn last week is still under inquiry, stewards expected to reconvene their hearing before Simply Sam starts a white hot favourite in the opening race on Thursday.

McKendry, who had handled Simply Sam expertly in his previous four starts this preparation, was three wide on the back of eventual winner Harder Than Diamonds turning for home.

But he told trainer Ray Green he thought he’d have to go too wide to win if he’d stayed where he was.

“He had to make a call and it was the wrong one.” Green said. “He zigged when he should have zagged and ended up not getting a run.

“But nobody’s perfect and it’s not the end of the world. You just have to forget the race.”

Simply Sam had proven in his previous starts that he had the speed to gather in his rivals given a clear run.

When he scored at the Park on May 5 in almost identical time to Harder Than Diamonds (2:42) he paced closing sectionals of 55.6 and 27.4, much quicker than the 56.4 and 28.5 that the Andrew and Lyn Neil-trained horse clocked.

If you could replay the race with McKendry staying where he was, it’s easy to envisage the horse reeling in the five horses spread across the track who battled out the finish.

Each of those was of much better calibre than the lot he meets on Thursday, in a much lower rating spread, and with one fewer horse to get past, he looks clearly the best winning chance of the night, albeit at microscopic odds.

“He should win,” Green said of the $1.65 fixed odds opener. “He stands above that lot.”

Colonel Lincoln after his impressive Cambridge win. PHOTO: Chanelle Lawson.Colonel Lincoln after his impressive Cambridge win. PHOTO: Chanelle Lawson.Four of six but not confident

Bookies might have Green a hot favourite to win the fourth race, for two-year-olds, given he lines up four of the six runners, but the trainer says he wouldn’t be taking short odds.

While Lincoln Farms’ Colonel Lincoln is the sole winner in the field, and Neptune is shaping up as a classy pacer, Green says he’s not confident at all of winning. “We’re not certainties by any means, it’s a very competitive race - Logan’s look the equal of ours.”

Logan Hollis and Shane Roberston line up debutants Rocknroll Hammer and On Deadline, both of whom have shown speed at the Pukekohe workouts and trials.

Rocknroll Hammer, a half brother to recently retired superstar King Of Swing, beat Lincoln Farms’ Neptune, Ideal Kingdom and Lincoln River in a May 21 workout.

On Deadline led all the way to distance his trial rivals on May 21 in a 2:01 mile rate and he has run second in both his workouts, to the classy Merlin in January and Rocknroll Hammer, whom he was reeling in with every stride, on June 9.

Green says it’s a toss-up between Neptune and Colonel Lincoln as to who gets top billing for Lincoln Farms.

Neptune might have a little bit more speed but there’s not a lot in it.

“Neptune is the more reliable of the two. I thought he’d win on the corner last week but he flattened out halfway up and Maurice said he raced very greenly at the finish.

“He’s still inexperienced and not on top of his game yet.”

Green says you couldn’t help but be impressed by Colonel Lincoln’s last start win at Cambridge.

“He raced tough at Cambridge, looped the field before the half, and kept going so he’s obviously got a motor. But he can do things wrong.”

Lincoln River … yet to enjoy a good trip. PHOTO: Trish Dunell.Lincoln River … yet to enjoy a good trip. PHOTO: Trish Dunell.Lincoln River can figure in the finish if he gets a decent passage, says Green.

“He’s never really had good trips but he’s still got home well. He’s honest enough.

Ideal Kingdom needs more practice which you can’t get sitting in the paddock. At this stage he’s not as good as Neptune or Colonel Lincoln but he’s a good, honest little fella and he’ll get better.”

The stable’s other runner, Major Grace, will get her chance in the third race, having drawn the pole.

“She’s had two bad draws this time in and done well with them.

“The one draw this time should see her get a nice, easy trip and we just have to hope she can get some of it. She’s improved immensely this time in.”

Our runners this week: How our trainers rate them

Ray Green

Ray’s comments

Thursday night at Cambridge


Race 1: Lincoln LInda
5.14pm

“The fillies she raced against in the Sires’ Stakes Semi were the best around so this is a massive drop in class for her. I imagine Fergie will work his way forward, as she’s best in front, and then she’d become the one to beat.”

Ray Green

Ray’s comments

Friday night at Auckland

Race 1: Prince Lincoln
5.16pm

“The draw helps as he likes being in front. The raw ability is there but from time to time he’s reluctant to show it. But that last start was a vast improvement.”

Race 1: Colonel Lincoln
5.16pm

“He was definitely in need of the run first-up and will benefit from another. He’s been off the scene for a long time.”

Race 5: Sugar Ray Lincoln
7.08pm

“He did well second-up, peeling off a 55.1 half. He’s been a slow maturer but I think he’s getting stronger as he gets older - he certainly feels much stronger in his work.”

Race 5: Lincoln Wave
7.08pm

“The Cambridge race has brought him on and I’m sure he’ll go well again, but he won’t be butchered a week out from the Derby. I don’t want to get carried away but he’s a pretty good horse, the best of our three in the race. He’s a year younger than Suger Ray but has a bit more ability. It’s hard to know where he’ll take us but he has the potential to be a classic colt.”

Race 5: Leo Lincoln
7.08pm

“He’s in the zone, he’s feeling really great, and he won’t go badly. But he’ll need luck from the draw.”

Race 9: Spiritual Bliss
9.04pm

“She’s racing better horses now and has done well to cop getting parked in some hard-run races. Leading is her go and she’ll get her chance from the inside draw.”

Race 10: Rivergirl Bella
9.36pm

“She has got a bit of speed but she can’t carry it very far. But if she gets the right trip, and gets out at the right time, not too soon, she’s always a chance.”

Race 10: Jessie Lincoln
9.36pm

“Harry blamed himself for the horse breaking at the start at Cambridge - he said he asked her to go a bit too quickly off the gate. She shouldn’t do it again. She’ll hold her own here, I’m sure.”

Race 10: Marylynes Boy
9.36pm

“He’s been training well but he’s only a little colt having his first start and from the second row I think Nathan will be happy to just see him get around safely.”

Dan Costello Race Photography