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Mark: Brave Captain Nemo in form but that outside draw on Friday night is just a killer

Captain Nemo raced right up to his courageous best at Albion Park last week but faces a near impossible task there on Friday evening, says trainer Mark Dux.

“I’d like to find a positive but there are none - that outside draw is just a killer and in a good field it’s going to be super hard for him.

“Last week even though it was a strong field I still had a feeling he might race well, from the good draw, and he did.”

Driven to an early lead, Captain Nemo was clearly headed down the back straight but fought his way back to lead again early in the home straight.

And he never flinched late over the 2138 metres, going under by just 1.7 metres and half a head.

“But this week, from seven, over 1660 metres, I just can’t see how he can get into it.”

Equal lowest rated in the field, but starting from the worst draw, Nemo comes up against a number of future free-for-allers on the way up, says Dux.

“Angus (Garrard) will just drive him how he feels and he’ll do the best he can.

“It’s a shame because I’m really happy with the horse. He pulled up well and has done terrific this week.

“When the right one stands up, Nemo’s pretty good but he has his off days because he races so tough.”

Dux is likely to let Nemo stay at home next week, depending on what sort of a run he gets on Friday.

“I thought I might change it up a bit and not run him every week. We’ll miss a week here and there.

“He might handle that better than running week after week because he races so tough, it’s not like he ever gets any easy trips.”

Captain Nemo races at 8.25pm NZ time at Albion Park on Friday night.Captain Nemo races at 8.25pm NZ time at Albion Park on Friday night.

Our runners this week: How our trainers rate them

Ray Green

Ray’s comments

Thursday night at Cambridge

Race 1: Rivergirl Bella
5.44pm

“She did well here last time as she had to do a bit to get to the lead and she dug in and fought on. She’s certainly a chance if she repeats that effort.”

Race 4: Lincoln Linda
7.09pm

“I thought she went super last time after doing a lot of work. She can do that because she has an engine and is tough. She’s a bit one-dimensional - you have to turn her loose early - but from the two draw she should be able to lead and that’s where she does her best work.”

Race 5: Sugar Ray Lincoln
7.34pm

“I think he’s a bit stronger after his spell. It’s not a great field - most will die on that mark - and I don’t see a problem with the standing start as he’s nicely gaited. He could be marginally unfit after three months out but he’s done quite a bit of work and I can see him going a half-decent race.”

Race 6: Lincoln Maree
7.59pm

“She had every chance last time but I can’t see why she won’t go well again. She’s as honest as they come and tries like hell.”

Race 7: The Night Fox
8.29pm

“You’d think he’d lead easily from the inside. He’s had bad draws and still got the money, so I’m sure he’ll go another good race. I’m surprised they sold him so cheaply. He’s better than people think.”

Ray Green

Ray’s comments

Friday night at Auckland

Race 1: Lincoln Wave
5.09pm

“With the trip he got in the Harness Million I thought he’d have run on a lot better. But he was still a bit short on fitness and sometimes we can expect too much of these horses, he was racing the best, after all. It’s a big drop in grade here and he’s a pretty fair horse.”

Race 1: Leo Lincoln
5.09pm

“He’s an honest sort who’s in a good space but he won’t get a wonderful trip from the outside of the gate this time so I’m not holding my breath.”

Race 3: Sammy Lincoln
6.04pm

“He’s training down well but you never know what he’s going to do. You think you’ve got him sorted and he does something silly. But we know if the real Sammy turned up, he’d be very hard to beat as he’s got a lot of speed.”

Race 5: Prince Lincoln
7.05pm

“He’s another where you don’t know which one will turn up but we’ve gelded him since his last run, so we’ll see if that helps. He trained well the other day.”

Whales Harness