Tommy Lincoln just fails to catch his former stablemate Northview Hustler last start as a $40 outsider.
Mission impossible for Tommy tonight as terrible draws dog Dux at the Creek
By Barry Lichter • 10 December 2022
It’s mission impossible for Tommy Lincoln at Albion Park tonight when he tackles a very strong field in the Lord Mayors Cup from a very bad draw.
Trainer Mark Dux was ruing his bad luck when the fields came out - two of his three runners have drawn the outside of the back row and Tommy Lincoln is widest on the front line.
“That’s a terrible alley for him. We’ll go back, well, hopefully we can get him back, drive him cold, and hope for a lot of luck in the running.”
Frustrating for Dux is the fact Tommy is coming off one of his best runs in a long time when, as a $40 outsider last start, he went down by only half a neck to Northview Hustler.
The run justified Dux’s pe-race belief that Tommy could feature, given half decent luck.
“He’s been running times as good as any of them but on Saturday night, from the draw, it’ll be near impossible for him.
“There’s nothing missing in that field, it’s the best of what’s going around at the moment, and with a full field of 12 runners we’re going to end up right at the tail.
“Northview Hustler and Mach da Vinci will come out and I’m picking Pete McMullen will chime in at some stage on Blacksadance.
“It would be good for us if they go silly but, if they walk and sprint home, we could run home in 26 and still be out the back.”
That said, Dux still believes Tommy will race well - “the only time he doesn’t is when he cuts off his air”.
Tommy is likely to sit out next week’s Christmas Cup, because it is over the longer 2680 metre trip.
Tommy Lincoln races at 10.36pm NZ time at Albion Park on Saturday night.
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Nathan’s comments
Thurday night at Cambridge
Race 2: Dreams Of Eric
6.03pm
“He’s just come back from a two-week break and seems a lot better after the freshen-up. He’s training really well but this will be like a trial for him. There looks to be a lot of speed in the race so, from five, he won’t be put into the early rush. We’re still aiming him at the Harness 5000 at Ashburton in December.”
Ray’s comments
Friday night at Auckland
Race 1: Kevin Kline
4.44pm
“He was held up last week but still got home really well, hard on their backs and, with the right trip, he’ll be dangerous. But the race looks suited to a horse like Hooray Henry who, in a small field, can sit back and outsprint them.
Race 9: Tyson
8.54pm
“We were looking to sit in with him last week but it didn’t work out. He still ran on pretty well as he always does. He just needs a bit of luck.”
Race 9: Debbie Lincoln
8.54pm
“Maurice was happy with her run last week and said she paced strongly through the line. From seven on the gate this week she’ll have to go back but I think she’s better coming from off the pace. She’s a good chance if she can get sucked into it at the right time.”
