Tommy terrific but he’ll need all the luck just to run a hole at Albion Park on Saturday night
Tommy Lincoln has only six rivals at Albion Park on Saturday night but such is the strength of the field he’ll be doing well just to run top four.
That, despite Tommy having resumed last week with a fine, albeit distant, second to track record-holder Blacksadance.
This week he faces not only Blacksadance, but also former New Zealand Cup winner Cruz Bromac, who is drawn to lead, former Lincoln Farms’ iron horse Northview Hustler and Will The Wizard.
Trainer Mark Dux is under no illusions about the task ahead of Tommy from the middle of the front row.
“But I think he’ll race well - I’m hoping he can run top three, or top four at worst. His run the other night was terrific and it will have done him good.”
In his first start for two months, Tommy enjoyed a one-one sit but still finished 19 metres astern of Blacksadance who clocked a sizzling 1:50.7 mile rate for the 1660 metres.
Tommy clocked closing quarters of 27.42 and 28.35, Dux saying driver Angus Garrard was forced to move three wide at the 400, earlier than he wanted because the one in front of him was going nowhere.
“They’ll run a similar time this week and that means you can’t do that much work in the run and still have a finish.
“It will all come down to how the race is run. If Cruz Bromac holds the lead, and Blacksadance is outside him, we could get the one-one.
“But if Cruz hands up, we’ll have to go four fence. I don’t want Tommy to be sitting parked if they go 1:50 something like last week. But even if we do end up four fence, he could still earn a good cheque.”
Dux said he didn’t believe there was a lot between the seven runners.
“The whole field can run 54 halves. You used to be able to sit in and dash late but you can’t any more because they’re running so fast. They’re running near track record times.
“But Tommy will always be competitive. It’s not often he doesn’t run a good race.”
Blacksadance’s track record mile rate of 1:50 flat was set back in April, when Northview Hustler ran second and Tommy Lincoln fourth from the pole.
Tommy Lincoln races at 11.50pm NZ time at Albion Park on Saturday night.
More news in Harness
Ray reveals his theory on why rank outsider Sammy Lincoln can play a hand in the derby
$101 winner Lincoln Wave has improved and is worth following in Friday’s derby lead-up
OK Sammy, lightning bolts aside, Ray’s relying on you to do things right this time
Lincoln Dealer has the genes but not the barrier draw for Cambridge debut
Our runners this week: How our trainer rates them

Ray’s comments
Friday night at Auckland
Race 2: Colonel Lincoln
5.23pm
“He’s come through his two runs well and we can be bolder with him from a front row draw.”
Race 2: Sugar Ray Lincoln
5.23pm
“He’s in good shape and you can’t fault what he’s doing. I don’t think the (seven) draw should make a lot of difference - he’s been parked in his last two and still got money. You wouldn’t take a trifecta without putting him in.”
Race 2: Leo Lincoln
5.23pm
“He’s racing really well and just needs a bit of luck from the second row. He’s trained on well and should go well again. ”
Race 4: Rivergirl Bella
6.27pm
“She only has a little sprint but, if she doesn’t have to do too much, she can get home well.”
Race 4: Jessie Lincoln
6.27pm
“She’ll win a race or two, and will get one soon as she’s honest, but she’s still very green. And to be fair to her, she hasn’t had a decent enough run where you can really judge her yet.”
Race 8: Lincoln Wave
8.38pm
“Based on the draws, Sammy looks a better chance than Lincoln Wave. Not many win from out there, especially in a Group I race. But I suppose he had a similar draw at Cambridge (six) and got lucky (squeezing into the trail when Nymbal broke) so you never know what can happen. It won’t be easy for him but it would be nice to see him get a good trip as I think he’ll handle the 2700 metres as well as the others.”
Race 8: Sammy Lincoln
8.38pm
“If he can hold up, that would be marvellous as if anything can give Jumal a fright, it’s him. I know he’s still a maiden but he’s better than most of them ability-wise. He’s a classy big bugger who is very fast and if he ends up on Jumal’s back he’d be dangerous. I wouldn’t be surprised to see him in the fray as he has such a lot of ability.”
Rac e 10: Prince Lincoln
9.37pm
“If the real Prince Lincoln turned up he’d be in the money, but you never know with him.”

