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Andre Poutama lets Zealand Star loose at the Pukekohe workouts.

Zealand Star could be the tote-toppler for a memorable New Year’s Eve

At first glance Zealand Star would seem to have little chance in the fifth race at Alexandra Park on Monday.

But while his 84848 formline looks the worst in the race, and he starts from a second row draw against some very progressive opposition, he’s a much better prospect than his big odds will suggest.

Zealand Star has not paced a bad race since owner Merv Butterworth sent him north to Lincoln Farms from Lauren Pearson’s Winton stable.

  • First-up he became buried on the markers and went to the line hard held with nowhere to go, only 3.7 lengths from the winner Solid Gold.
  • At his next start on December 14 he ran fourth, pacing a sizzling 2:40.1 behind Ideal Star.
  • And last time he finished eighth over a mile, just 5.2 lengths from winner Bounty Lady, a herculean performance after breaking as the gate left and settling 60 metres from the leaders.

Zealand Star clocked by far the fastest last 800 metres in that race, 55.6, with a red hot 27.6 third quarter.

On Monday the inside second row draw could actually be a godsend for this true-blue sit-sprinter as he follows out gate flier American Empress.

Three starts back, from the same ace draw, Sailesh Abernethy gunned American Empress out to lead a strong field in the Northern Breeders’ Stakes.

A repeat of those tactics could see Zealand Star land a dream trail and allow him to use his good turn of foot up the passing lane.

Trainer Ray Green reports Zealand Star has trained stylishly this week, a likely result of his hocks being injected.

“His hocks had been worrying him and he trained very well this morning and is looking very good.

“It’s all about draws and trips - not many can get a bad trip and excel - and while there are some nice types against him, if he could get a trail he’d be a chance.’’

Zachary Butcher takes the reins on Monday from junior driver Andrew Drake.

Our runners this week: How our trainers rate them

Ray Green

Ray’s comments

Thursday night at Cambridge

Race 1: Rivergirl Bella
5.14pm

“She tries hard and is getting stronger. She just needs a trip to be right there.”

Race 3: Copy N Paste
6.16pm

“Maurice said he got a bit tired on debut but I didn’t expect a lot. Four months ago you’d have wondered if he’d ever qualify. He’ll improve on that - he’s improving all the time - but from seven he’ll have to go back and come into it late.”

Race 5: Lincoln Linda
7.14pm

Update: Scratched

“She’s up in grade but is a chance again if she can get a good run up the front of the field. It was a good effort last time to break 2:43.”

Race 8: Lincoln Maree
8.49pm

“She’s trained on OK and, while no champion, has to be a chance down in grade against the amateur horses.”

Ray Green

Ray’s comments

Friday night at Auckland

Race 4: Jessie Lincoln
6.57pm

“I can’t see her beating Sammy Lincoln but with a good draw at last you’ll see a better performance. She’s capable of finishing in the first three.”

Race 4: Spirit Of God
6.57pm

“She bolted in at the workouts, leading out from a wide gate and getting home in 27.9. She’s a great driving little mare and has good manners. I could see her winning one very soon.”

Race 4: Sammy Lincoln
6.57pm

“I know we’ve said it before but he has been unlucky a few times and, all things being fair and square, it’s hard to see him beaten. The draw is awkward but everything points to him winning. There are no derby horses in there and he went a great race in the Northern Derby last start.”

Race 4: Marylynes Boy
6.57pm

“He’s a tidy little horse. I can’t see him winning from the (second row) draw but he’s like Spirit Of God, he’s not far away from winning one.”

Race 5: Sugar Ray Lincoln
7.25pm

“He’s been a late developer. You can see it in his growth, his withers have finally popped up, and he’ll get better as time goes on. He’s no champion but he should be a handy horse through winter. He’s capable of stepping away fairly well.”

Race 5: Leo Lincoln
7.25pm

“It’s a toss-up between the two of them. Sugar Ray is a bit stronger perhaps but Leo is very good from a stand. You can forget that last run in the Messenger - he was only in there to help get the race off the ground.”

Race 7: Prince Lincoln
8.25pm

“He finally showed us what he’s got last week. Inside second row draws can be awkward - you’re at the mercy of the others - but he could end up with a good trail behind the leader.”

Whales Harness