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Argyle gets a rare inside draw at Albion Park on Saturday night. PHOTO: Dan Costello.

At last, Argyle gets the pole on Saturday night and Mark reckons it’s his big chance to salute

Last one week, first the next. That’s the scenario which could play out for Argyle at Albion Park in Brisbane on Saturday night.

Trainer Mark Dux knew Argyle had no chance of winning last Saturday night when he took on rising star For Real Life from the second row and, while the horse ended up running last, he says it was a good run.

“It sounds silly saying that when he ran last but it’s not like he was walking, he ran through the line really strongly.”

This week, Argyle gets his first pole position in the 15 months he’s been racing in Brisbane and, with no stars against him, and being the second highest rated runner in the field, Dux thinks he’s a winner.

“He’s been racing consistently well, with bad draws and bad luck, but this week from one, I think he can hold up and then we’re definitely the one to beat.”

Dux backs his claim by pointing to Argyle’s sectional times last week which weren’t too inferior to winner For Real Life, who clocked 27.62, 30.81, 27.45 and 27.04.

Argyle ran through the quarter markers in 28.88, 30.68, 27.68 and 27.09, his closing 800 of 54.78 just 0.29 slower than the winner.

“Only eight horses all night were quicker than him over that last 800 - three who were in the free-for-all and five in his race. Their 800s ranged from 54.3 to 54.7 so he was only 0.4 slower and he was really good on the line.”

Dux was delighted to see Argyle finally draw the inside this week - in his 25 previous starts in Queensland he’s only twice started from two and only once from three.

13 second row draws

With 13 second row draws it has been very hard for him to capitalise on his toughness.

“He’s very strong so stepping up to 2138 metres doesn’t matter. He needs only average luck and, as long as nothing goes wrong, he’ll be super hard to beat.

“The only problem would be if we were crossed at the start and shoved back but there’s nothing in the field you’d say is really quick - they’ve got good gate speed without being brilliant.

“I couldn’t see So Sirius crossing us from six and, can he sit outside us and beat us? I can’t see it. I thought he was a bit ordinary last week, not as good as he has been.”

Dux says you have to rate Grant Dixon’s in-form Class To The Max a chance from three but he believes the biggest danger will be the horse likely to be on Argyle’s back, the Peter McMullen-driven Shell Shock.

“If it comes to a dash up the straight Shell Shock would be tough to beat.

“But I’m really happy with Argyle. He’s done well, he looks good and he’s working well.”

Dux doesn’t believe even an act of God like a water-logged track would stop Argyle.

“The rain hasn’t stopped over here - we’ve had 80mls and storms overnight - but I don’t think that would worry him.”

Argyle races at 11.35pm NZ time at Albion Park on Saturday night.Argyle races at 11.35pm NZ time at Albion Park on Saturday night.

Our runners this week: How our trainers rate them

Nathan Delany

Nathan’s comments

Thursday night at Manawatu

Race 4: Spiritual Bliss
6.25pm

“She won well on the first day but pulled very hard - Harry said his arms were that tired afterwards he couldn’t have lifted a 1kg dumb bell. She’s meeting a few nice ones here, up in grade, but she’s drawn better so you can’t count her out. She tries hard and really digs in.”

Race 7: Lincoln Downs
7.50pm

“She did everything right on Tuesday but she blew heavily afterwards and I think the heat got to her. She’s a place chance if she recovers OK.”

Race 8: Lincoln Maree
8.22pm

“She was jumping shadows on Tuesday and moves to the last race this time but she’s not the most genuine so I’m not holding my breath.”

Ray Green

Ray’s comments

Friday night at Auckland

Race 3: Lincoln Lover
6.28pm

“He hasn’t raced for three months but trialled really well. I pick he’s going to win one pretty quickly and, given he’s been running against the best two-year-olds in his previous preps, it should really be on Friday night. This lot of maidens aren’t in the same class and he’s as honest as they come, a tough little trier.”

Race 6: Debbie Lincoln
8.09pm

“She’s really up against it from the outside of the second line, with all the favourites drawn well. She has to be the unluckest animal on the planet. With her, what can go wrong will. Even at the best of times you need a reasonable draw to figure but drawn in the bondocks here she’ll need incredible luck.”

Race 8: Sugar Ray Lincoln
9.09pm

“He had a short break while some vet work was done but is in good trim. Yes, there are a few in here that are vastly higher rated but his formline says it all - it’s not often he doesn’t get a cheque.”

Race 8: Tyson
9.09pm

“He was a bit unlucky last week that he didn’t get to them a bit sooner otherwise I think he would have won. Maurice said he thought they’d come back to him more, going 2:39 speed, but his closing sectionals were easily the best in the race.”

Race 10: Prince Lincoln
10.09pm

“He’s grown into a beautiful horse, a quality looking colt, and who knows what he could be. He’ll obviously improve with the run but I still expect him to run well from his good draw. He trialled very well behind a good one.”

Race 10: Johnny Lincoln
10.09pm

“He’s drawn a bit awkwardly in seven, which gives Prince Lincoln the edge, but he too was making good ground in the workout.”

Dan Costello Race Photography