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Argyle gets a rare inside draw at Albion Park on Saturday night. PHOTO: Dan Costello.

At last, Argyle gets the pole on Saturday night and Mark reckons it’s his big chance to salute

Last one week, first the next. That’s the scenario which could play out for Argyle at Albion Park in Brisbane on Saturday night.

Trainer Mark Dux knew Argyle had no chance of winning last Saturday night when he took on rising star For Real Life from the second row and, while the horse ended up running last, he says it was a good run.

“It sounds silly saying that when he ran last but it’s not like he was walking, he ran through the line really strongly.”

This week, Argyle gets his first pole position in the 15 months he’s been racing in Brisbane and, with no stars against him, and being the second highest rated runner in the field, Dux thinks he’s a winner.

“He’s been racing consistently well, with bad draws and bad luck, but this week from one, I think he can hold up and then we’re definitely the one to beat.”

Dux backs his claim by pointing to Argyle’s sectional times last week which weren’t too inferior to winner For Real Life, who clocked 27.62, 30.81, 27.45 and 27.04.

Argyle ran through the quarter markers in 28.88, 30.68, 27.68 and 27.09, his closing 800 of 54.78 just 0.29 slower than the winner.

“Only eight horses all night were quicker than him over that last 800 - three who were in the free-for-all and five in his race. Their 800s ranged from 54.3 to 54.7 so he was only 0.4 slower and he was really good on the line.”

Dux was delighted to see Argyle finally draw the inside this week - in his 25 previous starts in Queensland he’s only twice started from two and only once from three.

13 second row draws

With 13 second row draws it has been very hard for him to capitalise on his toughness.

“He’s very strong so stepping up to 2138 metres doesn’t matter. He needs only average luck and, as long as nothing goes wrong, he’ll be super hard to beat.

“The only problem would be if we were crossed at the start and shoved back but there’s nothing in the field you’d say is really quick - they’ve got good gate speed without being brilliant.

“I couldn’t see So Sirius crossing us from six and, can he sit outside us and beat us? I can’t see it. I thought he was a bit ordinary last week, not as good as he has been.”

Dux says you have to rate Grant Dixon’s in-form Class To The Max a chance from three but he believes the biggest danger will be the horse likely to be on Argyle’s back, the Peter McMullen-driven Shell Shock.

“If it comes to a dash up the straight Shell Shock would be tough to beat.

“But I’m really happy with Argyle. He’s done well, he looks good and he’s working well.”

Dux doesn’t believe even an act of God like a water-logged track would stop Argyle.

“The rain hasn’t stopped over here - we’ve had 80mls and storms overnight - but I don’t think that would worry him.”

Argyle races at 11.35pm NZ time at Albion Park on Saturday night.Argyle races at 11.35pm NZ time at Albion Park on Saturday night.

Our runners this week: How our trainers rate them

Mark Dux

Mark Dux’s comments

Wednesday night at Redcliffe

Race 1: Captain Nemo
7.17pm NZ time

“It’s a reasonable field, they’re not push-overs, but they’re all beatable. It will all come down to who gets the right trip. If we have something go our way we could get some of it as there’s not a lot between them and I don’t think he’s far off now. We’ve got a bad draw again and there’s a bit of speed inside us so I’ll tell Angus to just play it by ear.”

Ray Green

Ray’s comments

Friday night at Auckland

Race 4: Lincoln La Moose
7.32pm

“He’s a pretty good horse. He was still below his best last time at Cambridge - he needed the race - but went very well for second behind King’s Watch. With his ace draw, he should be right up there for Zac (Butcher). He always looked a bit delicate but he’s got tougher.”

Race 4: Obadiah Dragon
7.32pm

“He’ll go a good race but our others look better here. His last run was below par for him so we took a blood off him and he had a bit of a virus going on. He was at the tail end of it but it was enough to stop him.”

Race 4: Lincoln Lou
7.32pm

“Even if he’s half a run short, I don’t think it will matter, he’ll still be too good for this lot. He only had a mild virus which came right with treatment and he’s trained on well since. He feels pretty good and if I was betting man, I’d bet him for sure based on his last run, which was massive.”

Race 4: Sugar Ray Lincoln
7.32pm

“He’s in a ‘coming of age’ phase. He rushed up beside them last start and wanted to lay all over them and give them a hug. But that’s normal coltish behaviour. He does that in training as well, rushes up and switches off. He has a lot of ability but also a few little behaviour traits that we need to get on top of.”

Race 6: My Copy
8.24pm

“It won’t be easy from four on the second row but he’s very honest and, if opportunity knocks, he’ll be right there. If he gets a trip, he’s always ready to pounce.”

Race 9: Tyson
9.39pm

“He should be one of the favourites. The raw ability is there and he’ll definitely win races as he has a bit of speed. How far he will take us we have yet to find out but I thought he did really well last time given the run he had.”

Whales Harness