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Better draw and tighter hopples but Debbie Lincoln’s still paying 100-to-one in the Oaks

Co-trainer Ray Green has tightened up Debbie Lincoln’s hopples and is tipping her as a 100-to-one surprise packet in Friday night’s $225,000 New Zealand Pacing Oaks at Addington.

Debbie Lincoln’s chances in the Nevele R Fillies’ Final last start plummeted when her early attack stuttered as she started pacing roughly at 57.6 km/hr, faster than any other horse over the first 180 metres.

“She hadn’t raced left-handed for a while and they were flying early. Maurice (McKendry) said she put in a few steps when crossing over from her wide draw so he had to nurse her.

“Blair Orange, on Winelight, was trying to let him go but when he saw her flapping her legs, he decided she wasn’t a good one to follow.”

Debbie Lincoln still ran the second fastest first 400 metres in 26.74, three wide, where she was stuck for the remainder of the 1980 metre race.

“It was unfortunate she had to cop such a tough trip but she showed she is competitive - not many in the race could have done what she did. Maurice said if he’d pushed her out, she would have finished a bit closer but he did the right thing and sat on her.”

Approaching the first turn in the Nevele R Fillies’ Final and Debbie Lincoln paces roughly and misses getting into the running line as driver Maurice McKendry has to take hold.Approaching the first turn in the Nevele R Fillies’ Final and Debbie Lincoln paces roughly and misses getting into the running line as driver Maurice McKendry has to take hold.Debbie Lincoln finished only eight lengths from Celestial Sea, despite covering 11 metres further than the winner, and just one place behind second favourite Winelight, who was inside her throughout.

“I was pretty pleased with the way she went,” Green said. “It was a bitter, sweet result as I know she’s up with the best of them.”

Green has pulled up his filly’s hopples in training this week, to keep her on a more even keel, and says there have been no dramas.

“I can’t fault her. She recovered quickly from that last run and looks great. She’s no 100-to-one shot. All she needs is a bit of luck.

“There’s no standout in the field. They’re all much of a muchness and, whichever one gets the best trip, will be the hardest to beat. It’s all about the trip.”

From two on the second row this time, rather than wide on the front, Debbie Lincoln could get that much needed trip, following out the go-forward duo of Beside Me and Carter Dalgety.

It’s an opportunity new driver Peter Ferguson is sure to pounce on if it materialises, Fergy stepping in for McKendry who is staying in the north for a good book of drives.

“Ferg was coming down anyway to drive Crackerjack in Trotting Derby and I’m sure they can surprise a few.

“We know Debbie can go enough and I don’t think she’d need to improve to be a good chance.

“She’s fast and tough, so the 2600 metres won’t hold any fears. I think she’ll go pretty well.”

Our runners this week: How our trainers rate them

Nathan Delany

Nathan’s comments

Thursday night at Cambridge

Race 3: Jessie Lincoln
6.39pm

“She was very good first-up - Harry said she was still coming at the line - and I’m sure she’ll go pretty well again. The way she trains over 2400 metres, you’d think the extra 500 metres will help.”

Race 3: Lincoln Downs
6.39pm

“I was quite happy with her last run at Cambridge, she’s improved a lot since Auckland. It’s a shame she’s got a bad draw this week but if she can hit the line well again, I’ll be happy.”

Race 5: Dreams Of Eric
7.34pm

“I think he’ll be a good chance because he continues to train very well. I’ll leave it up to Harry how he drives him this week but you’d think he’d lead again.”

Nathan Delany

Nathan’s comments

Friday night at Auckland

Race 3: Tyson
6.52pm

“He had to do a bit much work last time - from a niggly draw he went round and sat parked. He’s drawn three on Friday, which is perfect, as he can just mooch up there. He keeps going good races in stronger fields and needs two more starts and some more points to qualify for the Golden Gait.”

Race 8: Kevin Kline
9.24pm

“He’s up against the better ones now, like Cold Chisel, but he keeps doing a good job. He’s a tough horse who keeps improving and he’s training really well. I thought he’d be a chance.”

Ray Green

Ray’s comments

Friday night at Addington

Race 7: Debbie Lincoln
8.09pm

“I was pretty pleased with the way she went last time. It was unfortunate she had to cop such a tough trip but she showed she is competitive - not many in the race could have done what she did. Maurice said if he’d pushed her out, she would have finished a bit closer. I can’t fault her. She recovered quickly and looks great. She’s no 100-to-one shot. All she needs is a bit of luck.”

Dan Costello Race Photography