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Draw gives Line Up the edge in Lincoln Farms’ four-pronged assault on the Sires Stakes

Trainer Ray Green, like the TAB bookies, believes Line Up’s perfect draw makes him the one to beat in Friday night’s Sires’ Stakes heat at Alexandra Park.

In an early market for the second and final Sires’ Stakes heat in the north, Line Up has opened the $2.60 favourite, with Mighty Looee second favourite at $3 ahead of Green’s Copy That and Barry Purdon’s Bad To The Bone on $5.

Green’s two other runners, Double Or Nothing and Tommy Lincoln, are not fancied at $26.

Green has decided to start all four of his entries, happy that Tommy Lincoln, while not 100% fit yet, deserves his shot and Copy That has improved this week after a disappointing Saturday workout.

Ray Green gives Copy That a hose down after training.Ray Green gives Copy That a hose down after training.Copy That is fine. I see no reason not to start him. His fast work yesterday was very good, he ran a mile in 2:04 and he and Line Up finished it off nicely together.

“I know Zac was bemoaning Copy That’s performance at the workouts but he seems quite a bit better now and he needs the race to get fit for Christchurch.”

Copy That and Line Up have already qualified for the $170,000 Sires’ Stakes Final on cup day at Addington, November 12.

With Zachary Butcher opting to drive Bad To The Bone, Green has reached for master reinsman Tony Herlihy for Copy That, who will have to overcome the outside gate of eight, no easy task over only a mile.

And that’s primarily why Green favours Line Up, who has shown he has the gate speed to make the most of his barrier two for David Butcher.

“I don’t think there’s anything between the two but I’m very happy with Line Up, he’s looking really good, and coming to his peak at the right time.”

Line Up was well below his best when second at his last start to Copy That, only just making the start line for the first Sires’ Stakes heat at Cambridge after a foot abscess threatened to derail him.

He will be very potent on Friday, leading over a mile.

Double Or Nothing … has scored back-to-back wins and deserves his chance.Double Or Nothing … has scored back-to-back wins and deserves his chance.Green doesn’t believe Double Or Nothing will be disgraced even though he’s stepping up in company.

“Ability wise he’s there, he just hasn’t been strong enough, but you can’t fault what he’s done in his last two starts. He’s worthy of being in the field and is an improver.

Tommy Lincoln should need the run but he’s pretty rugged, better than I thought he was, and another worthy of taking his place.

“Nothing really stands out and it’s going to be a very tactical race.”

Pair will need lots of luck

Under the preferential barrier draw, Green’s seventh race runners The Empress and Bettor My Dreamz were always going to draw badly but from three and four on the second row they will need plenty of luck to feature over a mile.

“I’m very happy with The Empress, she’s really in the zone at the moment, and from a fitness perspective she’s in better shape than Bettor My Dreamz.

“If she can get any sort of crack at them she’ll be right there.

“The probabilities are against Bettor My Dreamz from out there but it’s horse racing and anything can happen.

“If they get lucky they can certainly get some money.”

Our runners this week: How our trainers rate them

Mark Dux

Mark Dux’s comments

Wednesday night at Redcliffe

Race 1: Captain Nemo
7.17pm NZ time

“It’s a reasonable field, they’re not push-overs, but they’re all beatable. It will all come down to who gets the right trip. If we have something go our way we could get some of it as there’s not a lot between them and I don’t think he’s far off now. We’ve got a bad draw again and there’s a bit of speed inside us so I’ll tell Angus to just play it by ear.”

Ray Green

Ray’s comments

Friday night at Auckland

Race 4: Lincoln La Moose
7.32pm

“He’s a pretty good horse. He was still below his best last time at Cambridge - he needed the race - but went very well for second behind King’s Watch. With his ace draw, he should be right up there for Zac (Butcher). He always looked a bit delicate but he’s got tougher.”

Race 4: Obadiah Dragon
7.32pm

“He’ll go a good race but our others look better here. His last run was below par for him so we took a blood off him and he had a bit of a virus going on. He was at the tail end of it but it was enough to stop him.”

Race 4: Lincoln Lou
7.32pm

“Even if he’s half a run short, I don’t think it will matter, he’ll still be too good for this lot. He only had a mild virus which came right with treatment and he’s trained on well since. He feels pretty good and if I was betting man, I’d bet him for sure based on his last run, which was massive.”

Race 4: Sugar Ray Lincoln
7.32pm

“He’s in a ‘coming of age’ phase. He rushed up beside them last start and wanted to lay all over them and give them a hug. But that’s normal coltish behaviour. He does that in training as well, rushes up and switches off. He has a lot of ability but also a few little behaviour traits that we need to get on top of.”

Race 6: My Copy
8.24pm

“It won’t be easy from four on the second row but he’s very honest and, if opportunity knocks, he’ll be right there. If he gets a trip, he’s always ready to pounce.”

Race 9: Tyson
9.39pm

“He should be one of the favourites. The raw ability is there and he’ll definitely win races as he has a bit of speed. How far he will take us we have yet to find out but I thought he did really well last time given the run he had.”

Dan Costello Race Photography