Draw takes Tommy Lincoln out of play in the Guineas at Cambridge on Friday night
By Barry Lichter • 20 February 2020
Tommy Lincoln will need a lot of luck to feature in Friday night’s Waikato Guineas, says trainer Ray Green.
Despite being the lowest equal rated in the field, Tommy Lincoln has the worst draw - four on the second line.
And with two of the highest rated runners, On A Roll and Need You Now drawn one and two, Tommy Lincoln will need all of driver David Butcher’s skills to get into the action.
“We’re not holding our breath that’s for sure,” says Green. “It’s hard to predict what sort of trip he’ll get but he certainly won’t be leading like last time and we’ll be looking for a lot of luck.”
Last Friday at Auckland Tommy Lincoln sped to the front from the inside draw and looked likely to justify Green’s confidence in him until a lap from home when Ferritt’s Sister slung her hook and savaged him continually.
He did well to hang in there for so long and was collared only at the 100 metre mark, not knocked around by Butcher when beaten, to be only two lengths from winner Be My Rock in a busy finish.
Tommy Lincoln had been trialling very well in the run-up to that race, his first for two and a half months, and will naturally take benefit from it.
Green believes Tommy Lincoln, winner of three of his nine starts, could be in for a good season now he has strengthened and plans to test him in the Northern Derby Prelude at Auckland on Friday week.
Green has scratched Man Of Action from the Waikato Guineas after he drew one from the outside.
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Our runners this week: How our trainers rate them
Nathan’s comments
Thursday night at Cambridge
Race 1: The Night Fox
5.44pm
“From a good front line draw Harry can run off the gate and find the front. He’s shown he’s got the speed to get there. And if he can go 2:42 again, or quicker, I thought he’d be a very good winning chance. It’s an easier field than the one he beat last time. He’s trained well this week.”
Race 2: Rivergirl Bella
6.09pm
“She goes down to Cambridge for the first time so it’s a big drop in class. She also goes a lot better left-handed so I thought from the good draw she could run top three.”
Race 3: Lincoln Maree
6.34pm
“She paced a 1:56.7 mile in beating the amateurs last start but it looks like she’ll need a bit of luck from the draw this time. The two inside her like to lead so she could end up three fence or outside them. I’ll leave it up to Harry to get the right trip.”
Race 3: Lincoln Lover
6.34pm
“He’s a place chance. He likes bowling along but from five it’s hard to say where he’ll end up. He’s very consistent and he paced 2:42.3 last time so I can absolutely see him in the money.”
Race 6: Lincoln Linda
8.04pm
“She was in a very strong R40 to R48 race last time at Auckland against horses like Alecto, All Of Me and Cyclone Rebel, and she clocked 2:41.1, so back to Cambridge where she won her first race, and a much easier R38 to R40 field, she’s got to be a good winning chance. She’s best in front if Fergie can get there.”
Ray’s comments
Friday night at Auckland
Race 1: Leo Lincoln
4.42pm
“I’m not holding my breath with him. We won’t count that last run, when the leader went ballistic and he couldn’t get into the race, but he’s not well placed here.”
Race 4: Spiritual Bliss
6.09pm
“She’s racing really well and this looks a bit easier than last time when she was trapped in the breeze in a strong field. I can’t see how she won’t be right in the fight.”
Race 7: Missy Lincoln
7.34pm
“I didn’t know what to expect on debut but she was very brave. I’m picking she’ll go well again but she’ll need a bit of luck - drawn the second line we’re at the mercy of others. We’ll poke her out and see. At least she won’t get parked this time.”
Race 10: Lincoln Wave
9.07pm
“We’re racing the best horses now but he’ll definitely go better than last time. Tony (Herlihy) said he felt super across the top but once in the straight he flattened out, which I half expected. I had him scoped afterwards just to make sure he was all right but he was short of a run, that’s all.”
Race 10: Johnny Lincoln
9.07pm
“He went super when third last week and Fergie said just wait ’til he gets over 2700 metres, he’ll be a monster. He’s turned into a proper racehorse. From four there’ll be a bit of urgency early and hopefully he can get a suck along and get some of it.”
