Draw takes Tommy Lincoln out of play in the Guineas at Cambridge on Friday night
By Barry Lichter • 20 February 2020
Tommy Lincoln will need a lot of luck to feature in Friday night’s Waikato Guineas, says trainer Ray Green.
Despite being the lowest equal rated in the field, Tommy Lincoln has the worst draw - four on the second line.
And with two of the highest rated runners, On A Roll and Need You Now drawn one and two, Tommy Lincoln will need all of driver David Butcher’s skills to get into the action.
“We’re not holding our breath that’s for sure,” says Green. “It’s hard to predict what sort of trip he’ll get but he certainly won’t be leading like last time and we’ll be looking for a lot of luck.”
Last Friday at Auckland Tommy Lincoln sped to the front from the inside draw and looked likely to justify Green’s confidence in him until a lap from home when Ferritt’s Sister slung her hook and savaged him continually.
He did well to hang in there for so long and was collared only at the 100 metre mark, not knocked around by Butcher when beaten, to be only two lengths from winner Be My Rock in a busy finish.
Tommy Lincoln had been trialling very well in the run-up to that race, his first for two and a half months, and will naturally take benefit from it.
Green believes Tommy Lincoln, winner of three of his nine starts, could be in for a good season now he has strengthened and plans to test him in the Northern Derby Prelude at Auckland on Friday week.
Green has scratched Man Of Action from the Waikato Guineas after he drew one from the outside.
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Ray’s comments
Thursday night at Cambridge
Race 1: Rivergirl Bella
5.14pm
“She tries hard and is getting stronger. She just needs a trip to be right there.”
Race 3: Copy N Paste
6.16pm
“Maurice said he got a bit tired on debut but I didn’t expect a lot. Four months ago you’d have wondered if he’d ever qualify. He’ll improve on that - he’s improving all the time - but from seven he’ll have to go back and come into it late.”
Race 5: Lincoln Linda
7.14pm
“She’s up in grade but is a chance again if she can get a good run up the front of the field. It was a good effort last time to break 2:43.”
Race 8: Lincoln Maree
8.49pm
“She’s trained on OK and, while no champion, has to be a chance down in grade against the amateur horses.”
Ray’s comments
Friday night at Auckland
Race 4: Jessie Lincoln
6.57pm
“I can’t see her beating Sammy Lincoln but with a good draw at last you’ll see a better performance. She’s capable of finishing in the first three.”
Race 4: Spirit Of God
6.57pm
“She bolted in at the workouts, leading out from a wide gate and getting home in 27.9. She’s a great driving little mare and has good manners. I could see her winning one very soon.”
Race 4: Sammy Lincoln
6.57pm
“I know we’ve said it before but he has been unlucky a few times and, all things being fair and square, it’s hard to see him beaten. The draw is awkward but everything points to him winning. There are no derby horses in there and he went a great race in the Northern Derby last start.”
Race 4: Marylynes Boy
6.57pm
“He’s a tidy little horse. I can’t see him winning from the (second row) draw but he’s like Spirit Of God, he’s not far away from winning one.”
Race 5: Sugar Ray Lincoln
7.25pm
“He’s been a late developer. You can see it in his growth, his withers have finally popped up, and he’ll get better as time goes on. He’s no champion but he should be a handy horse through winter. He’s capable of stepping away fairly well.”
Race 5: Leo Lincoln
7.25pm
“It’s a toss-up between the two of them. Sugar Ray is a bit stronger perhaps but Leo is very good from a stand. You can forget that last run in the Messenger - he was only in there to help get the race off the ground.”
Race 7: Prince Lincoln
8.25pm
“He finally showed us what he’s got last week. Inside second row draws can be awkward - you’re at the mercy of the others - but he could end up with a good trail behind the leader.”
