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Leo Lincoln close to a win: Watch how he copped it early last time at Manawatu

Leo Lincoln needs only a little luck at Manawatu on Sunday to make up for an unlucky last-start placing on the course.

The four-year-old, who has opened a $4.80 third favourite, was all set to secure the perfect trail on April 1 when rival Sailesh Abernethy on Stickifingers cut in front of him, a manoeuvre which will see him face a careless driving charge before the meeting starts on Sunday.

The incident on the first turn saw Peter Ferguson having to check Leo Lincoln and concede his position, a critical change considering Stickifingers went on to win the race.

Given Leo Lincoln was forced to cover extra ground when challenging three wide on the home turn, it could be argued he was cost the win.

Winding up late, Leo Lincoln finished just three-quarters of a length and a neck behind Stickifingers and pacemaker Fredastaire.

The merit of the run was further underlined with the 2000 meres cut out in 2:24.6, a slick mile rate of 1:56.4 on the recently refurbished track.

Leo Lincoln … devoid of luck in recent starts. PHOTO: Ange Bridson/Race Images.Leo Lincoln … devoid of luck in recent starts. PHOTO: Ange Bridson/Race Images.Co-trainer Ray Green said Abernethy’s move, when not sufficiently clear, took Leo Lincoln’s legs right out from under him - “You can’t cut in like that.

“He’ll win one soon. He’s always been a nice horse and very rarely missed cheques before he went off, for whatever reason, when he couldn’t even pace properly.

“But he seems back to it now and should be in the money for sure.”

Leo Lincoln has drawn on the inside of the second row, putting him at the mercy of how fast pole runner Ha’penny comes out of the gate, ironically piloted by Abernethy.

Lincoln Farms’ next best runner is Onyx Shard ($6, $1.90) but she will need some luck to overcome her outside front row draw.

Taken back from a similar alley at the last meeting on the course, Onyx Shard finished very well, a tactic Green expects will be employed again.

“If you get a good draw, you’re obligated to use it and go forward, and that means burning a bit of petrol. But, driven more quietly last time, she got sucked along and did nothing, finishing with plenty of gas in the tank.

“Ideally she’ll be driven like that again. But as long as she gets home well, I’ll be happy.”

Work in progress

Remaining runner, What’s Up The Hill ($11, $2.30) is a work in progress, says Green.

The son of former age group star Escapee has switched into a pace in all of his three starts, twice late when tiring, and once soon after the start.

“He just needs more practice - you don’t learn much at the trials with only two or three horses. If he trots the whole way, he should be in the money.”

Kevin Kline has been scratched from the sixth race.

“He has an abscess in a foot and is quite tender on it.”

Our runners this week

Friday night at Auckland

What’s Up The Hill.

Our runners this week: How our trainers rate them

Nathan Delany

Nathan’s comments

Tuesday twilight at Manawatu

Race 3: Onyx Shard
5.09pm

“She’s working really well and, from the good draw, hopefully she can run a drum. The field’s not that much harder than the one she beat last time at Manawatu (when parked for the last lap).”

Race 3: Kevin Kline
5.09pm

“We’re very happy with him - he’s come back a better horse. He went well at Auckland last start and is working well. We’ll be looking to go forward from the gate and hopefully get a gun run through behind Onyx Shard. On ability, he’s the better chance of the two.”

Race 4: Leo Lincoln
5.39pm

“He stepped like a bullet in his first go from a stand here in March. I thought he’d do the same on the second day but he galloped. We’ve got an overcheck on and hopple shorteners on Tuesday so he should make a good beginning. If he can step and lead, then maybe take a trail, he should be hard to beat. He likes it down there where the track is quite soft.”

Nathan Delany

Nathan’s comments

Thursday night at Manawatu

Race 3: Onyx Shard
6.04pm

“I thought I had Kevin Kline covered on Tuesday when we got to the straight because she was really travelling but he kicked away on us. It would be nice if she can get out of the gate as well again - she has good gate speed - and, if she does, she can get some of it again.”

Race 3: Kevin Kline
6.04pm

“He was too good for them on Tuesday, thanks to a great Fergy drive, and he’s in the same field again this time. The extra distance and wide draw shouldn’t make much of a difference and he’s our best of the night.”

Race 5: Leo Lincoln
7.02pm

“He’ll be hard to beat again if he steps like he did on Tuesday. The 10 metre handicap shouldn’t stop him. I think he’s even better if he follows something and the extra 500 metres isn’t a worry.”

Whales Harness