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Leo Lincoln close to a win: Watch how he copped it early last time at Manawatu

Leo Lincoln needs only a little luck at Manawatu on Sunday to make up for an unlucky last-start placing on the course.

The four-year-old, who has opened a $4.80 third favourite, was all set to secure the perfect trail on April 1 when rival Sailesh Abernethy on Stickifingers cut in front of him, a manoeuvre which will see him face a careless driving charge before the meeting starts on Sunday.

The incident on the first turn saw Peter Ferguson having to check Leo Lincoln and concede his position, a critical change considering Stickifingers went on to win the race.

Given Leo Lincoln was forced to cover extra ground when challenging three wide on the home turn, it could be argued he was cost the win.

Winding up late, Leo Lincoln finished just three-quarters of a length and a neck behind Stickifingers and pacemaker Fredastaire.

The merit of the run was further underlined with the 2000 meres cut out in 2:24.6, a slick mile rate of 1:56.4 on the recently refurbished track.

Leo Lincoln … devoid of luck in recent starts. PHOTO: Ange Bridson/Race Images.Leo Lincoln … devoid of luck in recent starts. PHOTO: Ange Bridson/Race Images.Co-trainer Ray Green said Abernethy’s move, when not sufficiently clear, took Leo Lincoln’s legs right out from under him - “You can’t cut in like that.

“He’ll win one soon. He’s always been a nice horse and very rarely missed cheques before he went off, for whatever reason, when he couldn’t even pace properly.

“But he seems back to it now and should be in the money for sure.”

Leo Lincoln has drawn on the inside of the second row, putting him at the mercy of how fast pole runner Ha’penny comes out of the gate, ironically piloted by Abernethy.

Lincoln Farms’ next best runner is Onyx Shard ($6, $1.90) but she will need some luck to overcome her outside front row draw.

Taken back from a similar alley at the last meeting on the course, Onyx Shard finished very well, a tactic Green expects will be employed again.

“If you get a good draw, you’re obligated to use it and go forward, and that means burning a bit of petrol. But, driven more quietly last time, she got sucked along and did nothing, finishing with plenty of gas in the tank.

“Ideally she’ll be driven like that again. But as long as she gets home well, I’ll be happy.”

Work in progress

Remaining runner, What’s Up The Hill ($11, $2.30) is a work in progress, says Green.

The son of former age group star Escapee has switched into a pace in all of his three starts, twice late when tiring, and once soon after the start.

“He just needs more practice - you don’t learn much at the trials with only two or three horses. If he trots the whole way, he should be in the money.”

Kevin Kline has been scratched from the sixth race.

“He has an abscess in a foot and is quite tender on it.”

Our runners this week: How our trainers rate them

Nathan Delany

Nathan’s comments

Wednesday night at Cambridge

Race 1: Lincoln Maree
5.11pm

“She’s finding her feet and was a bit unlucky at Taupo. She put in a few rough ones out of the gate - she was like that early in her prep and could just jump out of it - but she’s generally doing things right now. She trained well on Saturday and, with the right run, could run top three.”

Race 3: The Night Fox
6pm

“He won really well on the second day at Hawera and if he races anything like he’s training he’ll be hard to beat. He ran a 27.3 quarter during the week and I was just sitting on him. I’ll tell Craig to go forward, set an even tempo and cut him loose at the 600. I think he’s our best of the night.”

Race 6: Lincoln Lover
7.35pm

“Hopefully he’s improved since Taupo when Fergie drove him a treat in front. I actually think he’s better coming off something’s back but I’ll leave it up to Fergie. He’s up a bit in grade but has the right draw to be in it all the way.”

Ray Green

Ray’s comments

Friday night at Auckland

Race 5: Lincoln Wave
7.32pm

“He had an easy run last week and he can go a lot faster than that. He should be hard to beat. It won’t matter if he doesn’t find the lead from six, he’ll be just as effective coming from off the pace. He’s a pretty classy horse, classier than most of those against him.”

Race Images - Harness