Lincoln Green knockout Hawera chance fresh-up at juicy odds of $21 and $6
With an unbeaten fresh-up record, Lincoln Green looks to be at very generous odds at Hawera on Saturday, the bookies offering $21 and $6 for him in the last race.
Lincoln Green resumes from a seven-month break with a perfect first-up record to his name, winning at the start of both his previous campaigns, each at Saturday’s 1400 metres.
Lincoln Farms’ five-year-old will start from a handy draw, and will get a 1kg relief in weight, top apprentice Kozzi Asano bringing his 60kg top weight down to 59kg.
Trainer Lisa Latta reports Lincoln Green is in great shape for his return.
“He looks fantastic. He’s a big, strong horse and I’m happy with his work. He’s ready to run a big race in what is not an overly strong field.”
While Lincoln Green has not trialled, he had a pipe opener at the Levin jumpouts on September 16 when unplaced being stablemate and race rival The Rippa ($8.50) on an unsuitably heavy track.
“We’re going to get a nice track to kick him off on and it looks like he’ll start from seven which will be a lovely draw for him to get a good run.”
Lincoln Green, who is a bold on-pace runner, has scored his wins on dead4 and dead6 tracks, carrying 57.5kg and 58.5kg. The track was a dead5 this morning with no rain forecast before Saturday.
Lincoln Farms’ other two starters are also at long odds, Lincoln’s Kruz a $21 chance in the third race and Father Lenihan quoted at $23 in the eighth.
Lincoln’s Kruz was disappointing at Hastings on September 19, Latta unable to make any excuses for him.
“He seems to be going through one of those battling stages at the moment - his coat hasn’t turned yet - but I’m hoping having a strong rider like Johnathan Parkes will help him on Saturday.”
Latta doesn’t know yet who will rider Father Lenihan but she is hanging out for Hazel Schofer who will become free should Allan Sharrock decide not to start Our Hail Mary from her extreme outside gate.
Father Lenihan was an upset winner first-up at this meeting last year but is at a disadvantage this time from a wide gate. He drew 17 but could come in to 12 when the ballots come out.
“I am a bit concerned by the wide draw - he’ll need to jump smartly - but I would like to get this first-up run out of the way as there is a nice option for him at Awapuni at the end of the month over 1600 metres.
“His summer coat is through and he is looking really well.”
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Wednesday at Geelong
Race 7: Platinum Invador
6pm NZ time
“I can’t fault the horse, he’s in fantastic order, dead-set bucking his brands off. But we’re going to need luck. Of concern is where the tempo is going to come from and if it’s going to allow the backmarkers to get into it.”
Saturday at Te Rapa
Race 4: Lincoln King
“He’s going great guns. I’ve been very happy with him since his win at Matamata and he should go extremely well. I can’t see why he couldn’t win again.”
Sunday at Trentham
Race 3: Princess Amelie
“Samantha Wynne will ride her from a lovely draw of two. There are a couple of smart sprinters in here in Deerfield and Mascarpone but the track should get back to dead and be perfect for her. She galloped very well on the plough this morning. Safely through this race I will look at the Stewards for her next run.”
Race 4: Lincolns Gal
“Her last trial was disappointing but at least from a nice draw of two she will have every chance to step up and race well. Her work has been good but she has never been a great track worker so it’s hard to read too much into it. Her summer coat is through and, with two trials under her belt, she will have no excuses.”
Race 6: Kamanda Lincoln
“He has an awkward draw of 11 but I’m not too concerned as he got back at Hastings last week and really finished it off well. The track condition should be ideal for him and he has come through his run last week very well. This race fits in well before heading down south for his next two starts over cup week.”
Race 7: Lincoln Hills
“Barrier 12 is going to be a bit tricky but we have in-form Danielle Johnson on and I’m sure she will try and get cover somewhere. The field looks even and he certainly looks a good chance on paper, given he is going to get a nice track with the fire just out of it. His work has been great and with luck in the running he should be hard to beat.”
Race 9: Lincoln Fury
“Some of his fresh-up runs have been his best and he has had three jumpout/trials to get him ready to go 1600 metres first-up. He has worked well and his coat is bright so I am expecting a good run given he is going to get the fire out of the track and he has form at Trentham. Jonathan Riddell rides.