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I’m Jimmy James nails Louie The Punter on the line at Albion Park last week.

Louie wanted to wait for them but he can’t do that from his trailing draw on Friday

Louie The Punter, pipped late in his Queensland debut at Albion Park last week, just needs an ounce of luck to feature there again on Friday.

Drawn the inside of the second line in the eighth race, the horse’s fortunes will hinge on whether pole runner Congo Line can hold the lead, says trainer Mark Dux.

“The one horse does have gate speed and likes to lead and, if he does, we’re in the race right up to our ears,” says Dux. “If he can’t - and there are a couple who might try to come across - being three back is not the end of the world, he’ll just need a touch of luck.”

Dux expects Louie The Punter to be improved for last week’s run, his first for two months and, even more importantly, leading driver Pete McMullen will be a lot wiser about his charge.

McMullen did not contest the early burn last week, when Glenledi Commander and Smooth Cash went through the lead time in a scorching 34.4.

“I can’t remember a quicker lead time here. Pete even had to do a bit of chasing to hold their backs.”

McMullen did not risk being trapped in behind the leading pair, who capitulated and finished a long last, and moved three wide from the one-one all of 700 metres from home.

“He knew the ones in front would give up quick because they went so crazy, but while he went straight past them when he got to the lead the horse didn’t seem to know what he was doing. He was a bit stop-start and seemed to want to wait for them.”

Despie rallying bravely in the run home, Louie went under by half a neck to I’m Jimmy James.

“Pete said he’s a much better trier than his brother (Lincoln Farms’ former pacer) Double Or Nothing (whom he drove 20 times).

“Missing the trial the previous week wouldn’t have helped him either but Pete was happy with him and is going to try to stay with him if he can.”

Captain Nemo … has had no luck in recent starts. PHOTO: Trish Dunell.Captain Nemo … has had no luck in recent starts. PHOTO: Trish Dunell.Nemo luckless

Dux drives Captain Nemo in the tenth race and says he’s hoping he can get a little more luck than in his previous few runs.

“I don’t think his runs have been that bad, things have just gone against him.

“Every time I went to pull out at Redcliffe last week they all wanted to go. The field turned out to be a lot better than I anticipated and he paced roughly again on that top bend.”

Dux says the plan on Friday will be to put Captain Nemo on the speed, despite drawing wide in six.

“I don’t want to burn a 26 quarter to get there but we do need to be handy, there’s no doubt about that. I don’t want to be out the back again.

“Half the battle is getting him on the bit and travelling and if we can sit outside the leader, he’s a top three chance for sure.”

Captain Nemo drops to an up to rating 80 race, compared with last week’s up to rating 90.

Louie The Punter races at 6.12pm NZ time at Albion Park on Friday.Louie The Punter races at 6.12pm NZ time at Albion Park on Friday.Captain Nemo races at 7.24pm NZ time at Albion Park on Friday.Captain Nemo races at 7.24pm NZ time at Albion Park on Friday.

Our runners this week: How our trainers rate them

Les Harding

Les Harding

Monday at Globe Derby

Race 6: Beaudiene Rocknroll
6.34pm NZ time

This race will tell us how he measures up against the local horses. We decided to go for this lower graded race, despite having lower prize money, instead of going to the trials one more time. He won the second of two trials on April 21, beating race rival Hezrockinroyalty by four metres. Run over 2230 metres he clocked 57.7 for his last half and 1:59.7 for his last mile. From the pole he’ll start short and be hard to beat.

Ray Green

Ray’s comments

Friday night at Auckland

Race 7: Lincoln Lou
8.25pm

“He’s a beautiful little horse who doesn’t do anything wrong. He got held up at a crucial time last week and got home well (for sixth). He gets out pretty well so should get a good trip from two. He’ll go his usual honest race. He’s improving all the time, he’s a gutsy little guy, but whether he can measure up to the favourites remains to be seen.”

Race 7: Sugar Ray Lincoln
8.25pm

“He’s a work in progress and we’re still dabbling with his gear. He’s actually a naturally good-gaited horse, like all the American Ideals, but he’s going through a stage of not really knowing why he’s out there. You just don’t know when he’ll click but three is an ideal draw for him and he should be handy if he does things right.”

Race 9: Leo Lincoln
9.20pm

“He’s an under-rated horse, as good as those others who are higher rated. He’s proving to be a tidy horse and, while he’s not viewed as a serious player by some, I think he is. He was closing off really well last week behind Hugotastic.”

Dan Costello Race Photography