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Simply Sam, arrowed, is hard held behind the leaders, with mouth open, close to home.

Magic Man won’t risk being blocked this time on Simply Sam who’s all over a winner

If you backed Simply Sam at his last start it was a hard watch.

But it’s impossible to make a case for anything to beat him when he lines up again at Auckland on Thursday night against a much weaker field.

And one thing’s for sure, driver Maurice McKendry won’t be taking any risks this time with the horse who was blocked for a run for the entire home stretch last time and finished hard held on their backs, a certainty beaten.

Just why McKendry opted to try for an inside run on the home turn last week is still under inquiry, stewards expected to reconvene their hearing before Simply Sam starts a white hot favourite in the opening race on Thursday.

McKendry, who had handled Simply Sam expertly in his previous four starts this preparation, was three wide on the back of eventual winner Harder Than Diamonds turning for home.

But he told trainer Ray Green he thought he’d have to go too wide to win if he’d stayed where he was.

“He had to make a call and it was the wrong one.” Green said. “He zigged when he should have zagged and ended up not getting a run.

“But nobody’s perfect and it’s not the end of the world. You just have to forget the race.”

Simply Sam had proven in his previous starts that he had the speed to gather in his rivals given a clear run.

When he scored at the Park on May 5 in almost identical time to Harder Than Diamonds (2:42) he paced closing sectionals of 55.6 and 27.4, much quicker than the 56.4 and 28.5 that the Andrew and Lyn Neil-trained horse clocked.

If you could replay the race with McKendry staying where he was, it’s easy to envisage the horse reeling in the five horses spread across the track who battled out the finish.

Each of those was of much better calibre than the lot he meets on Thursday, in a much lower rating spread, and with one fewer horse to get past, he looks clearly the best winning chance of the night, albeit at microscopic odds.

“He should win,” Green said of the $1.65 fixed odds opener. “He stands above that lot.”

Colonel Lincoln after his impressive Cambridge win. PHOTO: Chanelle Lawson.Colonel Lincoln after his impressive Cambridge win. PHOTO: Chanelle Lawson.Four of six but not confident

Bookies might have Green a hot favourite to win the fourth race, for two-year-olds, given he lines up four of the six runners, but the trainer says he wouldn’t be taking short odds.

While Lincoln Farms’ Colonel Lincoln is the sole winner in the field, and Neptune is shaping up as a classy pacer, Green says he’s not confident at all of winning. “We’re not certainties by any means, it’s a very competitive race - Logan’s look the equal of ours.”

Logan Hollis and Shane Roberston line up debutants Rocknroll Hammer and On Deadline, both of whom have shown speed at the Pukekohe workouts and trials.

Rocknroll Hammer, a half brother to recently retired superstar King Of Swing, beat Lincoln Farms’ Neptune, Ideal Kingdom and Lincoln River in a May 21 workout.

On Deadline led all the way to distance his trial rivals on May 21 in a 2:01 mile rate and he has run second in both his workouts, to the classy Merlin in January and Rocknroll Hammer, whom he was reeling in with every stride, on June 9.

Green says it’s a toss-up between Neptune and Colonel Lincoln as to who gets top billing for Lincoln Farms.

Neptune might have a little bit more speed but there’s not a lot in it.

“Neptune is the more reliable of the two. I thought he’d win on the corner last week but he flattened out halfway up and Maurice said he raced very greenly at the finish.

“He’s still inexperienced and not on top of his game yet.”

Green says you couldn’t help but be impressed by Colonel Lincoln’s last start win at Cambridge.

“He raced tough at Cambridge, looped the field before the half, and kept going so he’s obviously got a motor. But he can do things wrong.”

Lincoln River … yet to enjoy a good trip. PHOTO: Trish Dunell.Lincoln River … yet to enjoy a good trip. PHOTO: Trish Dunell.Lincoln River can figure in the finish if he gets a decent passage, says Green.

“He’s never really had good trips but he’s still got home well. He’s honest enough.

Ideal Kingdom needs more practice which you can’t get sitting in the paddock. At this stage he’s not as good as Neptune or Colonel Lincoln but he’s a good, honest little fella and he’ll get better.”

The stable’s other runner, Major Grace, will get her chance in the third race, having drawn the pole.

“She’s had two bad draws this time in and done well with them.

“The one draw this time should see her get a nice, easy trip and we just have to hope she can get some of it. She’s improved immensely this time in.”

Our runners this week: How our trainer rates them

Ray Green

Ray’s comments

Friday night at Auckland

Race 4: Tyson
6.59pm

“He was tough again in winning last week. He’s trained on well, is in good shape, and should be right in it.”

Race 4: Sugar Ray Lincoln
6.59pm

“He’s finally getting his act together - he’s gone three good races in a row - and seemingly turned the corner. We’ve had a lot of (vet) work done on him, his feet in particular, and it’s paid off. There’s not much between him and Tyson.”

Race 5: Rivergirl Bella
7.23pm

“She’ll need everything to go her way from the draw. But she’s got a bit of speed. She’s getting there. She wasn’t very strong before and wasn’t tracking too well, but she’s driving right now.”

Race 5: Lincoln Linda
7.23pm

“She’s had a few issues, mostly mental ones, and is still a bit of a handful. It wasn’t very pretty last week but we’re slowly getting her under control. The outside draw might actually help her.”

Race 5: Angelic Copy
7.23pm

“She needs only a half decent trip to feature. She got held up a little bit in the straight at a crucial time last week and that was that.”

Race 6: Prince Lincoln
7.49pm

“He’s drawn the best of ours in three. He got cheated for a run last week. It’s hard to know where he’d have finished without that.”

Race 6: Lincoln Lover
7.49pm

“Ferg reckoned if he’d been able to hold up in the trail last week he would have won. He was very bullish about how he’d gone. The draw’s no help but he can do a bit of work. He’s an honest little guy who saves his best for when the money’s up on racenight.”

Race 6: Johnny Lincoln
7.49pm

“He got a bit keen last week but he should be a lot better this time. He’s still learning and he’s a slow learner. When he does things correctly he’s a pretty nice horse. Hopefully he can get a suck into it from the second row draw.”

Whales Harness