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Mark: Brave Captain Nemo in form but that outside draw on Friday night is just a killer

Captain Nemo raced right up to his courageous best at Albion Park last week but faces a near impossible task there on Friday evening, says trainer Mark Dux.

“I’d like to find a positive but there are none - that outside draw is just a killer and in a good field it’s going to be super hard for him.

“Last week even though it was a strong field I still had a feeling he might race well, from the good draw, and he did.”

Driven to an early lead, Captain Nemo was clearly headed down the back straight but fought his way back to lead again early in the home straight.

And he never flinched late over the 2138 metres, going under by just 1.7 metres and half a head.

“But this week, from seven, over 1660 metres, I just can’t see how he can get into it.”

Equal lowest rated in the field, but starting from the worst draw, Nemo comes up against a number of future free-for-allers on the way up, says Dux.

“Angus (Garrard) will just drive him how he feels and he’ll do the best he can.

“It’s a shame because I’m really happy with the horse. He pulled up well and has done terrific this week.

“When the right one stands up, Nemo’s pretty good but he has his off days because he races so tough.”

Dux is likely to let Nemo stay at home next week, depending on what sort of a run he gets on Friday.

“I thought I might change it up a bit and not run him every week. We’ll miss a week here and there.

“He might handle that better than running week after week because he races so tough, it’s not like he ever gets any easy trips.”

Captain Nemo races at 8.25pm NZ time at Albion Park on Friday night.Captain Nemo races at 8.25pm NZ time at Albion Park on Friday night.

Our runners this week: How our trainers rate them

Nathan Delany

Nathan’s comments

Thursday night at Manawatu

Race 4: Spiritual Bliss
6.25pm

“She won well on the first day but pulled very hard - Harry said his arms were that tired afterwards he couldn’t have lifted a 1kg dumb bell. She’s meeting a few nice ones here, up in grade, but she’s drawn better so you can’t count her out. She tries hard and really digs in.”

Race 7: Lincoln Downs
7.50pm

“She did everything right on Tuesday but she blew heavily afterwards and I think the heat got to her. She’s a place chance if she recovers OK.”

Race 8: Lincoln Maree
8.22pm

“She was jumping shadows on Tuesday and moves to the last race this time but she’s not the most genuine so I’m not holding my breath.”

Ray Green

Ray’s comments

Friday night at Auckland

Race 3: Lincoln Lover
6.28pm

“He hasn’t raced for three months but trialled really well. I pick he’s going to win one pretty quickly and, given he’s been running against the best two-year-olds in his previous preps, it should really be on Friday night. This lot of maidens aren’t in the same class and he’s as honest as they come, a tough little trier.”

Race 6: Debbie Lincoln
8.09pm

“She’s really up against it from the outside of the second line, with all the favourites drawn well. She has to be the unluckest animal on the planet. With her, what can go wrong will. Even at the best of times you need a reasonable draw to figure but drawn in the bondocks here she’ll need incredible luck.”

Race 8: Sugar Ray Lincoln
9.09pm

“He had a short break while some vet work was done but is in good trim. Yes, there are a few in here that are vastly higher rated but his formline says it all - it’s not often he doesn’t get a cheque.”

Race 8: Tyson
9.09pm

“He was a bit unlucky last week that he didn’t get to them a bit sooner otherwise I think he would have won. Maurice said he thought they’d come back to him more, going 2:39 speed, but his closing sectionals were easily the best in the race.”

Race 10: Prince Lincoln
10.09pm

“He’s grown into a beautiful horse, a quality looking colt, and who knows what he could be. He’ll obviously improve with the run but I still expect him to run well from his good draw. He trialled very well behind a good one.”

Race 10: Johnny Lincoln
10.09pm

“He’s drawn a bit awkwardly in seven, which gives Prince Lincoln the edge, but he too was making good ground in the workout.”

Race Images - Harness