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Louie The Punter, outer, is right there last week after a shocking run.

Mark: Louie’s the one for Punters - he needs only average luck on Friday night to score

Louie The Punter’s massive last start performance has left trainer Mark Dux confident he can win another four of five races in Queensland before the going gets tougher.

And the winning should start in the third race at Albion Park on Friday night even though the horse starts from the outside of the second row.

The Sweet Lou four-year-old could not have been more impressive in only his second race in Brisbane last week when he was badly inconvenienced at the start and came from last to go under by only half a neck, a nose and a short half head.

Dux had been hoping Louie would trail Congo Line all the way but when that horse crawled out of the pole, then galloped, forcing driver Pete McMullen to take evasive action and go round him, it looked curtains.

But when the pace dropped away in the second quarter to a pedestrian 32, McMullen got on his bike, starting a long three wide run from the rear.

And despite not getting any cover, the horse kept coming, looking a distinct danger up the straight.

The long green arrow alongside Louie The Punter’s name shows he made up 18 metres on the leader in the last 800 metres.The long green arrow alongside Louie The Punter’s name shows he made up 18 metres on the leader in the last 800 metres.Louie The Punter’s superior sectionals underlined the enormity of his effort, his 55.43 and 28.54 seeing him make up 18 metres on the leader over the last 800 metres.

“How far would we have won by if he’d trailed?” Dux said. “Pete was impressed and he should be very tough to beat on Friday night with even average luck. He just needs no bad luck like last time.

“I’m very happy with the horse, he pulled up well, and on last week’s effort he’ll win a few more races no trouble.”

Only one horse in Friday’s race has a higher rating than Louie The Punter (NR57) but Mach Brilliance (NR62) has drawn the outside of the arm.

Louie The Punter races at 8.25pm NZ time at Albion Park on Friday night.Louie The Punter races at 8.25pm NZ time at Albion Park on Friday night.

Our runners this week: How our trainers rate them

Nathan Delany

Nathan’s comments

Thursday night at Cambridge

Race 2: Lincoln Maree
5.55pm

“Frank drove a nice race on her last time, doing a bit of work early before leading and trailing, but I think the result might have been different if she’d led all the way. She has no speed, she’s better in front and rolling, so this week we’ll tell Frank to go forward and to not hand up and hopefully she can go one better.”

Race 4: The Night Fox
6.56pm

“He got KOed last time at Auckland but Harry said he felt like he could have won with a decent draw so we’ll just put that race behind us. I wouldn’t say this field is any harder. We’ve got a bad draw again but it depends on how the race pans out. I think he can still win.”

Race 6: Lincoln Lover
7.58pm

“He’s doing a good job, and he ran home well last time at Cambridge, but Leo Lincoln is definitely the pick of ours.”

Race 6: Leo Lincoln
7.58pm

“He’ll strip a lot fitter and I think he’s a good winning chance. He’s been racing open class horses and this is a huge drop back for him.”

Ray Green

Ray’s comments

Friday night at Auckland

Race 1: Lincoln Linda
5.06pm

“I’m not holding my breath. She beat a poor bunch at Cambridge and will have to step up here.”

Race 2: Rivergirl Bella
5.45pm

“Given the right trip, she should finish off not too bad as she has a bit of speed but, after two runs back, she needs to improve.”

Race 7: Missy Lincoln
8.09pm

“She’s only little but she trialled super and got home in 2:00.6 mile rate. If she repeats that, she’ll be in the fray. It’s early days yet but she’s a nice, tractable filly who has drawn well in two and, based on that one trial, you’d have to give her a chance. Whether she improves off it, we’ll see.”

Race 8: Spiritual Bliss
8.34pm

“I don’t think any of the others stand over her. She’s a tough mare who has trained on well. I’d love to see her in front, she’s proven that’s where she goes best, but whether she’ll get there from four is debatable. But I’m sure she’ll go another good race.”

Whales Harness