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Mark: Tommy should be right in the thick of things again on Saturday night

Bouyed by Tommy Lincoln’s excellent last start fourth, trainer Mark Dux can see Lincoln Farms’ charge right in the thick of the fight again on Saturday night.

And Dux can see one likely scenario that would put the reliable fighter in a perfect spot in the running of the fourth race.

Two weeks ago, from the widest alley, Tommy Lincoln was forced to ease to last, four back on the outer.

“It was near impossible for him to catch them from there,” Dux said. “If they’d gone quicker it would have been a different ball game.”

Tommy Lincoln’s closing sectionals were excellent last start.Tommy Lincoln’s closing sectionals were excellent last start.With the 2138 metres run only in a 1:55.5 mile rate, Tommy Lincoln did exceptionally well to close to 4.3 metres of the winner Our Uncle Sam, making up 10.7 metres on the leaders over the last 800 metres, three and four wide when mounting his run.

His closing 800 metres of 54.27 was one hundredth of a second slower then the winner and his final 400 metres of 26.75 was faster than Our Uncle Sam, who nosed out Will The Wizard and Mach Da Vinci in a blanket finish.

“I was really happy with his run,” Dux said. “They can all get home so quick but he’s only got to be a little closer in the running to beat them.

“On Saturday night I can see him getting a fairly good trip from five.

“If Will The Wizard holds the lead, like last week, and Crunch Time comes across - and there’s no reason they’d change their racing pattern - he could get the one-one and then he’d be right in the thick of things.”

Tommy Lincoln, who has won five of his nine starts in Queensland, rated 1:54.9 when winning over 2138 metres at his previous start. And three of his wins have been at 1660 metres, the distance on Saturday night, his best a 1:52.7 clocking in July.

Two of his wins have been with Saturday’s pilot Angus Garrard in the cart, the gun junior posting his 300th winner earlier in the week.

Dux reports Tommy Lincoln to be in good heart after a week out of the racing cauldron.

“He had an easy week last week but he trained well on Wednesday.”

Tommy Lincoln races at 9.42pm NZ time at Albion Park on Saturday night.Tommy Lincoln races at 9.42pm NZ time at Albion Park on Saturday night.

Our runners this week: How our trainer rates them

Ray Green

Ray’s comments

Friday night at Cambridge

Race 5: Sammy Lincoln
6.45pm

“You can’t hold that last race against him and he probably needed the run too as it was his first for a couple of months. Ability-wise he’s very good and on paper he should win. If he turns up, he’s the one to beat for sure.”

Race 6: Colonel Lincoln
7.20pm

“He got hooked up last week in that melee down the back straight and once you lose that momentum it’s hard, particularly when you’re get back in the field. He’ll go an honest race but he really needs to lose a point or two so he can get a better draw or an easier field.”

Race 9: Leo Lincoln
9.07pm

“He was closing on the winner last week, even though American Me had already switched off. There are no American Mes this week and you can guarantee he’ll be in it. He’ll go better the Cambridge way round - he handle the corners a lot better.”

Race 9: Ultimate Cullect
9.07pm

“I thought she went quite a good race last week and her driver Tony Cameron also said she went well and tried hard. She lacks a yard of speed - when they accelerate she flounders a bit - but she winds up and whacks away.”

Whales Harness