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Tommy Lincoln just fails to catch his former stablemate Northview Hustler last start as a $40 outsider.

Mission impossible for Tommy tonight as terrible draws dog Dux at the Creek

It’s mission impossible for Tommy Lincoln at Albion Park tonight when he tackles a very strong field in the Lord Mayors Cup from a very bad draw.

Trainer Mark Dux was ruing his bad luck when the fields came out - two of his three runners have drawn the outside of the back row and Tommy Lincoln is widest on the front line.

“That’s a terrible alley for him. We’ll go back, well, hopefully we can get him back, drive him cold, and hope for a lot of luck in the running.”

Frustrating for Dux is the fact Tommy is coming off one of his best runs in a long time when, as a $40 outsider last start, he went down by only half a neck to Northview Hustler.

The run justified Dux’s pe-race belief that Tommy could feature, given half decent luck.

“He’s been running times as good as any of them but on Saturday night, from the draw, it’ll be near impossible for him.

“There’s nothing missing in that field, it’s the best of what’s going around at the moment, and with a full field of 12 runners we’re going to end up right at the tail.

“Northview Hustler and Mach da Vinci will come out and I’m picking Pete McMullen will chime in at some stage on Blacksadance.

“It would be good for us if they go silly but, if they walk and sprint home, we could run home in 26 and still be out the back.”

That said, Dux still believes Tommy will race well - “the only time he doesn’t is when he cuts off his air”.

Tommy is likely to sit out next week’s Christmas Cup, because it is over the longer 2680 metre trip.

Tommy Lincoln races at 10.36pm NZ time at Albion Park on Saturday night.Tommy Lincoln races at 10.36pm NZ time at Albion Park on Saturday night.

Our runners this week: How our trainer rates them

Ray Green

Ray’s comments

Friday night at Auckland

Race 4: Tyson
6.59pm

“He was tough again in winning last week. He’s trained on well, is in good shape, and should be right in it.”

Race 4: Sugar Ray Lincoln
6.59pm

“He’s finally getting his act together - he’s gone three good races in a row - and seemingly turned the corner. We’ve had a lot of (vet) work done on him, his feet in particular, and it’s paid off. There’s not much between him and Tyson.”

Race 5: Rivergirl Bella
7.23pm

“She’ll need everything to go her way from the draw. But she’s got a bit of speed. She’s getting there. She wasn’t very strong before and wasn’t tracking too well, but she’s driving right now.”

Race 5: Lincoln Linda
7.23pm

“She’s had a few issues, mostly mental ones, and is still a bit of a handful. It wasn’t very pretty last week but we’re slowly getting her under control. The outside draw might actually help her.”

Race 5: Angelic Copy
7.23pm

“She needs only a half decent trip to feature. She got held up a little bit in the straight at a crucial time last week and that was that.”

Race 6: Prince Lincoln
7.49pm

“He’s drawn the best of ours in three. He got cheated for a run last week. It’s hard to know where he’d have finished without that.”

Race 6: Lincoln Lover
7.49pm

“Ferg reckoned if he’d been able to hold up in the trail last week he would have won. He was very bullish about how he’d gone. The draw’s no help but he can do a bit of work. He’s an honest little guy who saves his best for when the money’s up on racenight.”

Race 6: Johnny Lincoln
7.49pm

“He got a bit keen last week but he should be a lot better this time. He’s still learning and he’s a slow learner. When he does things correctly he’s a pretty nice horse. Hopefully he can get a suck into it from the second row draw.”

Dan Costello Race Photography