Tommy Lincoln just fails to catch his former stablemate Northview Hustler last start as a $40 outsider.
Mission impossible for Tommy tonight as terrible draws dog Dux at the Creek
By Barry Lichter • 10 December 2022
It’s mission impossible for Tommy Lincoln at Albion Park tonight when he tackles a very strong field in the Lord Mayors Cup from a very bad draw.
Trainer Mark Dux was ruing his bad luck when the fields came out - two of his three runners have drawn the outside of the back row and Tommy Lincoln is widest on the front line.
“That’s a terrible alley for him. We’ll go back, well, hopefully we can get him back, drive him cold, and hope for a lot of luck in the running.”
Frustrating for Dux is the fact Tommy is coming off one of his best runs in a long time when, as a $40 outsider last start, he went down by only half a neck to Northview Hustler.
The run justified Dux’s pe-race belief that Tommy could feature, given half decent luck.
“He’s been running times as good as any of them but on Saturday night, from the draw, it’ll be near impossible for him.
“There’s nothing missing in that field, it’s the best of what’s going around at the moment, and with a full field of 12 runners we’re going to end up right at the tail.
“Northview Hustler and Mach da Vinci will come out and I’m picking Pete McMullen will chime in at some stage on Blacksadance.
“It would be good for us if they go silly but, if they walk and sprint home, we could run home in 26 and still be out the back.”
That said, Dux still believes Tommy will race well - “the only time he doesn’t is when he cuts off his air”.
Tommy is likely to sit out next week’s Christmas Cup, because it is over the longer 2680 metre trip.
Tommy Lincoln races at 10.36pm NZ time at Albion Park on Saturday night.
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Friday night’s main event: In the blue corner, Tyson, in the red corner, Sugar Ray
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Ray’s comments
Friday night at Auckland
Race 4: Tyson
6.58pm
“Drawn out wide makes it tough over 1700 metres but he’s been making his own luck. He’s not brilliant out but if he pushes on to be handy he’s got to be a big chance again. He needs to be up there on the pace or he doesn’t try too hard.”
Race 6: Sugar Ray Lincoln
7.57pm
“You can’t fault what Sugar Ray’s been doing lately, and he’s been getting out with them, so he has to be a serious chance from the inside.”
Race 6: Kevin Kline
7.57pm
“Kev and Sugar Ray are pretty much on a par. Kev never goes a bad race, he’s just such a professional.”
Race 7: Johnny Lincoln
8.23pm
“He’s been racing too keenly but he won’t pull this time. We’ve got a different bit on him so Maurice will have him under control.”
Race 7: Prince Lincoln
8.23pm
“He’ll need to get stronger and you couldn’t see him beating Fugitive from the outside of the arm.”
Race 8: Rivergirl Bella
8.48pm
“It will be interesting to see what she can do from a good draw - she’s got some speed and if she holds up early she’ll get a good trip. But she, too, needs to get stronger.”
