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Ray: How will they beat Copy That? And look out for Line Up who was huge on the clock

“All things being equal I can’t see how they’ll beat him.”

Lincoln Farms’ trainer Ray Green doesn’t mince his words when he sums up how he thinks Copy That will go in Saturday night’s Group II $50,000 Alabar Classic at Alexandra Park.

Drawn two, Copy That is beautifully placed to get the run of the race and, after the demolition job he turned on last week from the second row, it’s hard to argue with Green.

Copy That cruises along in front with a lap to go last week.Copy That cruises along in front with a lap to go last week.Copy That was never out of second gear in the Northern Stakes after shooting to the front at the 1500 metres and driver David Butcher didn’t even activate the removable deafeners because he had the field covered.

It was an impressive all round display from Copy That who paced the 2200 metres in a sizzling 2:39.2, his last 800 in 55.1.

Green says Copy That has thrived since the race.

“They all trained this morning (Copy That, Line Up and Hampton Banner) and Copy That was travelling the best at the finish.

“But they all went well and the other two (both by Bettor’s Delight) don’t put in until they hear the tote bells ringing.”

Line Up is last with a lap to run in the Northern Stakes, about to unleash a 54 flat last half.Line Up is last with a lap to run in the Northern Stakes, about to unleash a 54 flat last half.Green is expecting a top run by Line Up, in particular, on Saturday night.

While the bare result shows he ran last of the nine runners in the Northern Stakes, Line Up actually paced a terrific race, with the fastest closing sectionals of 54 flat and 26.6. Copy That recorded 55.1 and 26.6.

Forced back to last from his wide gate, Line Up was still at the rear and four wide when mounting his run turning for home and really hit his straps down the stretch.

And driver Anthony Butt reported he had a real job trying to pull the horse up down the back straight.

Green says Line Up, who was officially timed to run his last mile in 1:54.1, was simply “a victim of circumstances.”

Line Up has again drawn wide but expect Butt to put him into the picture at some stage on Friday night.

“He’s definitely a chance,” says Green. “I don’t think there’s anything between the pair.”

While Hampton Banner will struggle to compete with his stablemates he, too, ran out of his skin last week, clocking sectionals of 54.8 and 26.6 in running sixth after being snookered four deep at the bell.

Dropping to easier grade

Lincoln Farms’ two other runners on the night are both for Copy That’s Australian owner Merv Butterworth, Ace Commander (race 10) and The Empress (race 1) both dropping into a much easier grade.

Ace Commander is close up in a much stronger field than he meets on Saturday night.Ace Commander is close up in a much stronger field than he meets on Saturday night.The form digits say Ace Commander ran only sixth last week but against far superior opposition he was in a close three-way line-up for fourth, with Renezmae and Havehorsewilltravel.

After stepping smartly from his 20 metre handicap, Ace Commander was first four deep, then five deep on the markers, before being extricated down the back straight the last time.

He was pushed four wide round the turn and trotted home strongly to be only 2.3 lengths from winner Circus Boy.

On Saturday, as a rating 66 horse, he runs in a small field for rating 50 to 68 trotters.

The Empress will also find the opening event, for rating 50 to 66 pacers, a huge drop on the mares she faced in last week’s Northern Breeders’ Stakes.

Green says he saw little point in being “cannon fodder” for Belle Of Montana and co again in the Queen Of Hearts, and believes The Empress can get some of the money on Friday.

Driver Blair Orange reported The Empress had been travelling well last week, three back on the markers, until the leaders sprinted on the home turn when “she was left floundering and paced roughly.”

“She doesn’t get round the corners as well as you’d like but Blair said she never quit and was holding her own.”

Drawn three on the second row, The Empress will however need her share of luck.

Our runners this week: How our trainers rate them

Ray Green

Ray’s comments

Thursday night at Cambridge

Race 1: Rivergirl Bella
5.14pm

“She tries hard and is getting stronger. She just needs a trip to be right there.”

Race 3: Copy N Paste
6.16pm

“Maurice said he got a bit tired on debut but I didn’t expect a lot. Four months ago you’d have wondered if he’d ever qualify. He’ll improve on that - he’s improving all the time - but from seven he’ll have to go back and come into it late.”

Race 5: Lincoln Linda
7.14pm

Update: Scratched

“She’s up in grade but is a chance again if she can get a good run up the front of the field. It was a good effort last time to break 2:43.”

Race 8: Lincoln Maree
8.49pm

“She’s trained on OK and, while no champion, has to be a chance down in grade against the amateur horses.”

Ray Green

Ray’s comments

Friday night at Auckland

Race 4: Jessie Lincoln
6.57pm

“I can’t see her beating Sammy Lincoln but with a good draw at last you’ll see a better performance. She’s capable of finishing in the first three.”

Race 4: Spirit Of God
6.57pm

“She bolted in at the workouts, leading out from a wide gate and getting home in 27.9. She’s a great driving little mare and has good manners. I could see her winning one very soon.”

Race 4: Sammy Lincoln
6.57pm

“I know we’ve said it before but he has been unlucky a few times and, all things being fair and square, it’s hard to see him beaten. The draw is awkward but everything points to him winning. There are no derby horses in there and he went a great race in the Northern Derby last start.”

Race 4: Marylynes Boy
6.57pm

“He’s a tidy little horse. I can’t see him winning from the (second row) draw but he’s like Spirit Of God, he’s not far away from winning one.”

Race 5: Sugar Ray Lincoln
7.25pm

“He’s been a late developer. You can see it in his growth, his withers have finally popped up, and he’ll get better as time goes on. He’s no champion but he should be a handy horse through winter. He’s capable of stepping away fairly well.”

Race 5: Leo Lincoln
7.25pm

“It’s a toss-up between the two of them. Sugar Ray is a bit stronger perhaps but Leo is very good from a stand. You can forget that last run in the Messenger - he was only in there to help get the race off the ground.”

Race 7: Prince Lincoln
8.25pm

“He finally showed us what he’s got last week. Inside second row draws can be awkward - you’re at the mercy of the others - but he could end up with a good trail behind the leader.”

Whales Harness