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Copy That, wide out, is nosed out by One Change in the Sires’ Stakes Final at Addington, with Line Up, third, and Bad To The Bone wide out fourth. All are rivals again on Friday night. PHOTO: Ajay Berry/Race Images.

Ray: It’s a lottery on Friday night and my trio will need a lot of luck from their poor draws

The barriers draws have gone against Lincoln Farms’ three-year-olds in Friday night’s Northern Stakes at Auckland, a race which trainer Ray Green says will be decided by luck.

With Sires’ Stakes Final placegetters Copy That ($4.80) on the inside of the second row, Line Up ($7.50) on the outside of the front row and late-bloomer Hampton Banner ($151) in five, it’s hard to label any as good things.

Compounding the problem is the presence of three of the All Stars’ battalion, the ultra consistent Flying Even Bettor ($7.50), Sires’ Stakes winner One Change ($2.70) and last season’s Young Guns hero Smooth Deal ($4.80).

Add in Barry Purdon’s well drawn Bad To The Bone ($6.50), who looked very sharp when flashing home at the weekend workouts, and Robert Dunn’s pair Down To The Bone ($15) and Mighty Looee ($81), and the stage is set for a real humdinger.

“No one horse stands over the others,” says Green. “It will be the one which gets the best run that wins. We just need a bit of luck.

“Line Up will have to go back from eight and Copy That is at the mercy of the one in front of him.

“But if they don’t get the breaks, it’s not the end of the world. The Alabar Stakes next week is the more important race and it’s worth twice the money ($50,000).”

While Copy That and Line Up have not raced since the Sires’ Stakes Final at Addington on November 12, Green says they’re both right up to the mark.

“They both trialled very well last Saturday, are in good shape, and should go well.”

Hampton Banner, while an improver, had yet to meet a field of this quality, so was just on the watch list.

Thrown in the deep end

The Empress in full flight, leading a strong workout field at Pukekohe last Saturday.The Empress in full flight, leading a strong workout field at Pukekohe last Saturday.Green admits he’s thrown The Empress ($151, $19) in the deep end in the following race, the $30,000 Northern Breeders’ Stakes.

“But she has to front up sooner or later. You don’t get better than Belle Of Montana but this mare isn’t the worst in there.

“She has a bit of gate speed so should be able to stay handy from one and if she could finish in the first four of five I’d be very pleased.”

Green says you can put the line through the last-start flop of The Empress who was expected to win the 3200 metre race at Cambridge on Melbourne Cup day but was very disappointing in fourth, later found to have a virus.

The Empress had a solid pipe opener at the Pukekohe workouts last Saturday, showing gate speed to lead, and finishing a close fourth behind talented types in Need You Now, Bad To The Bone and Mighty Looee in a fast 1:59.5 mile rate.

Green is hoping Ace Commander ($26, $6, race 5) used up all his bad luck last Friday night when blocked throughout the run home at Auckland.

One out and three back in the running, Ace Commander was first held up behind Kapai early in the home stretch then ran into the back of Safrakova.

“Blair (Orange) had to virtually stand him on his ear and he said afterwards he thought he could have been right in it.

“He’s been feeling good this week and will go well with the right trip.”

It will be Ace Commander’s third race since an operation to fix his entrapped epiglottis and he showed he had not lost his speed with a sharp workout win on November 16 - beating Havehorsewilltravel, Forget The Price Tag and Circus Boy, all rivals on Friday night.

Our runners this week: How our trainer rates them

Ray Green

Ray’s comments

Friday night at Auckland

Race 4: Tyson
6.59pm

“He was tough again in winning last week. He’s trained on well, is in good shape, and should be right in it.”

Race 4: Sugar Ray Lincoln
6.59pm

“He’s finally getting his act together - he’s gone three good races in a row - and seemingly turned the corner. We’ve had a lot of (vet) work done on him, his feet in particular, and it’s paid off. There’s not much between him and Tyson.”

Race 5: Rivergirl Bella
7.23pm

“She’ll need everything to go her way from the draw. But she’s got a bit of speed. She’s getting there. She wasn’t very strong before and wasn’t tracking too well, but she’s driving right now.”

Race 5: Lincoln Linda
7.23pm

“She’s had a few issues, mostly mental ones, and is still a bit of a handful. It wasn’t very pretty last week but we’re slowly getting her under control. The outside draw might actually help her.”

Race 5: Angelic Copy
7.23pm

“She needs only a half decent trip to feature. She got held up a little bit in the straight at a crucial time last week and that was that.”

Race 6: Prince Lincoln
7.49pm

“He’s drawn the best of ours in three. He got cheated for a run last week. It’s hard to know where he’d have finished without that.”

Race 6: Lincoln Lover
7.49pm

“Ferg reckoned if he’d been able to hold up in the trail last week he would have won. He was very bullish about how he’d gone. The draw’s no help but he can do a bit of work. He’s an honest little guy who saves his best for when the money’s up on racenight.”

Race 6: Johnny Lincoln
7.49pm

“He got a bit keen last week but he should be a lot better this time. He’s still learning and he’s a slow learner. When he does things correctly he’s a pretty nice horse. Hopefully he can get a suck into it from the second row draw.”

Race Images - Harness