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Lincoln Lou, right, is pacing roughly as Colonel Lincoln sweeps past him last Friday night.

Short odds on Lincoln Farms’ trio winning on Friday but don’t ask Ray to pick between them

With three of the six runners, Lincoln Farms’ trainer Ray Green will be at short odds to win the seventh race at Auckland on Friday night.

But while Green leans marginally towards Lincoln Lou and Debbie Lincoln, he says even Frisco Bay and Zachary Butcher could win the Zachary Butcher - ATC’s 2024 Leading Driver Pace.

“They’re all winning chances, depending on what sort of a trip they get but, from two, I think Lincoln Lou is the most likely winner.

“He just had to sprint a bit far last week and came very wide.”

Launched 500 metres from home by Butcher, Lincoln Lou ($3.20) looped the field four wide to hit the front 200 metres out, only to succumb late to stablemate Colonel Lincoln, pacing roughly and breaking just after the line.

The Sweet Lou colt moves in from four to two this week and looks a ready-made leader for Andre Poutama.

Debbie Lincoln (6) and Frisco Bay (7) charge home last week.Debbie Lincoln (6) and Frisco Bay (7) charge home last week.Butcher will sit behind Frisco Bay ($4.60) who, while only fourth behind Roy Kent last week, came from the rear and recorded the fastest closing sectionals of 55.9 and 26.2.

“He finished fast and could be dangerous depending on what sort of trip he gets.”

Also doing her best work late in that race with a 26.4 quarter, Debbie Lincoln ($2.50) closed to less than a length of the winner, looking like she’d improve with the run, her first for more than five weeks.

“She just got into it a wee bit late but got to the line really well.”

Maurice McKendry tells Trackside’s Nicole Sims about Colonel Lincoln’s dominant win.Maurice McKendry tells Trackside’s Nicole Sims about Colonel Lincoln’s dominant win.Regular driver Maurice McKendry sticks on Friday night but he vacates the seat behind last week’s dominant winner Colonel Lincoln ($12) in the fourth race, restricted to junior drivers.

Co-trainer Nathan Delany will do the steering from gate five but Green doesn’t expect the niggly draw, or slight rise in grade, to stop him.

“He’s definitely the one to beat. He bolted in last week and did a bit of work as well. This doesn’t look much harder.”

Colonel Lincoln has the Purdon/Phelan-trained Ultimate Racy Girl ($3.40) inside him, the mare certain to enjoy a drop in grade, as will the Telfer-trained Iron Brigade ($2.25).

But Green rates Colonel Lincoln a very progressive pacer who can make his way through the grades.

Kevin Kline ($4.80) drops in grade this week, the fourth race for R41 to R45 pacers, compared with the R46 to R51 event he ran in last Friday.

Though last of the seven runners, Kevin Kline held his ground in the run home and was only 2.9 lengths behind wnner Royal Kent.

Kevin Kline caused a false start last week, Green forgiving him for his youth and greenness.

“He just got his head round. He’s hardly ever gone a bad race and I expect more of the same.”

Our runners this week

Wednesday night at Cambridge

Lincoln Maree, The Night Fox, Lincoln Lover.

Our runners this week: How our trainer rates them

Ray Green

Ray’s comments

Friday night at Auckland

Race 2: Sammy Lincoln
6.18pm

“He was checked and locked wheels into the first turn last week and he had a decent puncture wound in his leg from where they ran into him so you certainly couldn’t condemn him for galloping. He’s a really nice horse, who is going to win races quickly. He hasn’t missed any work, and should be right in it.”

Race 3: Lincoln Wave
6.43pm

“He’s drawn wide again (six) but he’s good enough to get the job done. It’s a bit more of a test for him but there are no cup horses in there and he’s a pretty nice horse. We’ve waited for both him and Sammy Lincoln because of their setbacks at two but it’s been worth it.”

Race 4: Johnny Lincoln
7.11pm

“He was very tough in winning after sitting parked last week. He’s awkwardly drawn again but he tries hard and, with a bit of luck and a good trip, he can get some of it.”

Race 6: Tyson
8.08pm

“Completely forget his run last week when he had no luck in the running. He’s a definite chance.”

Race 6: Spiritual Bliss
8.08pm

“She took no harm from the incident last Friday and has trained on well. I think she’ll go well. If you analyse her run, they went down the back in 27.8 and she did well to finish on for fourth after sitting parked.”

Whales Harness