Copy That v King Of Swing a mouth-watering clash in Saturday night’s Sunshine Sprint
Lincoln Farms’ trainer Ray Green is in a unique position of being able to compare the merits of Copy That and King Of Swing, who are expected to fight out the finish of Saturday night’s A$100,000 Sunshine Sprint at Albion Park in Brisbane.
Green not only trains Copy That but developed and trained King Of Swing at Lincoln Farms until his sale for big money to Perth at the end of 2017.
So when he says he believes Copy That has a little more sharp speed than the now Aussie champion, and that he’ll be using his barrier advantage at the start of the big sprint, it only underscores why bookies have the Kiwi a $2.10 favourite to beat King Of Swing ($2.30).
“Anthony (Butt) does his own form, and he’ll make the call, but he won’t be going back,” says Green of the likely tactics for the winter carnival speed highlight.
“It’s the first time he’s seen the gate for three starts and he’s pretty quick out. I’m picking he’ll definitely be having a dab at the front and from there he’ll be hard to beat.
“It’s difficult to predict what other people will do out there but hopefully one of those on the inside doesn’t try to hold him out.”
Queensland experts are saying, however, they’ve seldom seen such a fast front row with the three inside horses, Bright Energy, Crunch Time and Alta Orlando all rockets, and former Kiwi Turn It Up a jet from the outside.
While King Of Swing is handicapped by being wide on the second row, his racing pattern is also to go forward and apply the pressure, raising the distinct possibility that the Albion Park track record of 1:50.4 could be under threat.
The mark is shared by two horses, who both set it at the Brisbane July winter carnival, Cruz leading all the way last year in the Sunshine Sprint and champion I’m Themightyquinn coming from the one-one at the bell to win the Wondai’s Mate in 2014.
Being on the speed at Albion Park is a huge advantage in mile racing and that’s why Green believes Copy That will have an edge on King Of Swing.
The only time King Of Swing has been beaten in his last 11 starts was when he started from the second row and didn’t lead. In his 21 starts since joining the McCarthy stable he has led in 18 of his 21 starts.
His record from his Sydney base is a remarkable 17 wins, three seconds and a third, his fastest mile time when winning the March, 2020 Miracle Mile in 1:48.
“I have huge respect for him, he’s a beautiful horse, a real class act and he’s won $2.3 million,” says Green.
“He’s so powerful and is at the top of his game so he won’t be a pushover but I think our fella has a bit more sharp speed.”
King Of Swing finished out of the top three only twice in the time Green trained the youngster - in his last two starts for Lincoln Farms - when he racked up seven wins and four seconds from 13 starts, bankrolling $236,244 for John and Lynne Street, Neville McAlister and Rod and Sue Fleming, mostly through winning the Breeders Crown as a two-year-old.
His bankroll has now topped $2.3 million, his career record 36 wins and 15 placings from 70 starts.
Green says Copy That has coped well with his two races since arriving in Brisbane and is actually on the improve, his narrow defeat in last week’s Rising Sun only serving to further tighten him.
“I can’t fault him. I haven’t tested him this week done, he’s just done a bit of pacework, but both he and American Dealer sprinted up well today.”
$5.50 for American Dealer
Green believes American Dealer is a definite winning chance in the A$30,000 South East Derby on Saturday night and is surprised he’s only the $5.50 early third favourite.
“The bookies never make him favourite, no matter what he does, but that could be to their peril.
“I know he’s drawn six, and there’s a bit of speed inside him, but I think they’ll string out pretty quickly.
“You certainly wouldn’t leave him out of your permutations. He’s tough and is definitely on the improve.”
America Dealer was superb last Saturday night, winning the Rising Sun Consolation, shuffled back after doing work early then coming with a fast and sustained sprint from four back on the outer.
Green has scratched Tommy Lincoln from Saturday night after an abscess in his foot flared up again.
“We had trouble with it last week but hopefully it won’t be one of those that lingers. We’ll have to get it out before we race him again, hopefully next week.”
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Our runners this week: How our trainers rate them
Friday night at Cambridge
Race 3: Lincoln Lou
“He’s a beautiful little horse and I’m looking forward to seeing him run. It’s hard to know how good he is, or how far he’ll go, but I guess we’ll find out on Friday. He’s the one to beat from the draw. If he doesn’t win, he won’t be far away.”
Race 5: Commander Lincoln
“I won’t be holding my breath. He tries hard enough but he lacks a bit of high speed.”
Race 8: Onyx Shard
“It’s two and a half months since she last raced, and she didn’t grow as much as I thought she would, but I’m expecting her to go a good race. Her last two trials have been good and she’s pulled up well.”
Race 8: Obadiah Dragon
“He’ll need a good trip from five but he’s not out of it. He went a good race last time at Cambridge and would be as equal a chance as Onxy Shard.”
Race 8: Beaudiene Rocknroll
“It’s heart-in-the-mouth stuff with him until they let them go but he should step away this time. Zac (Butcher) said the gate went particularly slowly before that race and that’s why he got impatient. I thought he did well to recover for third. If he made the front, where he goes best, he’d be hard to beat.”
Race 9: Frisco Bay
“He’s a tidy horse and I’m expecting a big run. We’ve sorted the problem he had with his breathing last season and he’s right in the zone now after a second and a win at the workouts.”
Mark Dux’s comments
Saturday night at Albion Park
Race 5: Argyle
11.02pm NZ time
“It wouldn’t have mattered where he drew this week, he’s in the money, barring bad luck. He’s going terrific and he gets in so well at the ratings.”