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Lincoln River (Andre Poutama) has race rival I Expect Bettor well covered at the finish of his workout last Friday.

Take the short odds on brave Lincoln River at Cambridge on Thursday night

Against inferior opposition, improving three-year-old Lincoln River looks a standout bet at Cambridge on Thursday night.

Not even a wide draw of seven dents the confidence of trainer Ray Green that Lincoln River will take out the fifth race.

“He doesn’t have gate speed so it doesn’t matter where he draws. He can make his own luck and this is definitely a step down in class on what he’s been racing at Auckland.”

Lincoln River has shown great courage in all three of his latest starts at Alexandra Park:

  • Last time on New Year’s Eve he sat parked for the last lap, led turning for home and was only just run down half a neck and half a neck by the talented Purdon/Phelan fillies Artisan and Miki Montana.
  • On December 16 he was parked for the last 1600 metres, still led 50 metres out, and only stablemate Neptune grabbed him half a neck.
  • And on December 9, he was last turning for home, came five wide and thundered home to be beaten only a head by Ohoka Achilles in 2:41.

Gelding the key

Green says gelding the horse has made the difference.

“He’s a nice horse, always was, but gelding him has been a real plus. He was getting pretty rank, he didn’t have his head in the right place, but you can see in his recent performances what a difference it has made.

“He’s definitely the one to beat on Thursday.”

Lincoln River, on R44, is the second highest assessed horse in the race, only the out-of-form I Accept Bettor rated higher on R45.

But Lincoln River easily accounted for that runner and stablemate Next To Me at last Friday’s Pukekohe workouts.

Lincoln River led all the way in the 2050 metre heat, not tested to score by three-quarters of a length, with a final half in 58.7 and quarter in 28.

Lincoln River, who is by champion sire Bettor’s Delight out of New Zealand Oaks winner Ideal Belle, helped raise $100,000 for the Foodies Foundation last August when Lincoln Farms’ owner John Street offered a 50% share in the horse to be auctioned at Foodstuffs’ 100-year celebration.

The share was bought by a team of PAK’nSAVE owner-operators, including Glenn “Grocer” Cotterill, who bought the Lincoln Rd branch in Henderson from Street in 2013.

Cotterill, who already raced horses in special partnerships with Lincoln Farms, took a 25% share for $50,000 with the other 25% spread between 10 others.

Lincoln River is also raced by John and Lynne Street, David Turner, Phil Kelly, David Hooker, Barbara O’Mara, Dave Jones and Lin and Tina Guo.

My Copy rolling along in the lead in last Friday’s Pukekohe workout.My Copy rolling along in the lead in last Friday’s Pukekohe workout.Green is keen to see what My Copy can do in race seven, the Waikato Summer Cup.

“It’s a big step-up for him - it’s the best field he’s been in so far - so it will be interesting to see where he fits, but I think he’s a chance.

“He keeps improving all the time. It’s just hard to know how far he’ll go.”

Green was impressed by My Copy’s last-start placing at Cambridge behind Riverman Sam saying “if he hadn’t been bumped out four wide turning for home, he’d have won.”

Green doesn’t anticipate any problems with My Copy having his first race from a stand - the horse has begun well in both his two recent workouts behind the tape.

Last Friday he stepped quickly to lead and finished third behind the well performed Zarias and Soundsofcash, both serious rivals on Thursday, but giving him starts of 10 metres and 20 metres.

Our runners this week: How our trainers rate them

Mark Dux

Mark Dux’s comments

Wednesday night at Redcliffe

Race 1: Captain Nemo
7.17pm NZ time

“It’s a reasonable field, they’re not push-overs, but they’re all beatable. It will all come down to who gets the right trip. If we have something go our way we could get some of it as there’s not a lot between them and I don’t think he’s far off now. We’ve got a bad draw again and there’s a bit of speed inside us so I’ll tell Angus to just play it by ear.”

Ray Green

Ray’s comments

Friday night at Auckland

Race 4: Lincoln La Moose
7.32pm

“He’s a pretty good horse. He was still below his best last time at Cambridge - he needed the race - but went very well for second behind King’s Watch. With his ace draw, he should be right up there for Zac (Butcher). He always looked a bit delicate but he’s got tougher.”

Race 4: Obadiah Dragon
7.32pm

“He’ll go a good race but our others look better here. His last run was below par for him so we took a blood off him and he had a bit of a virus going on. He was at the tail end of it but it was enough to stop him.”

Race 4: Lincoln Lou
7.32pm

“Even if he’s half a run short, I don’t think it will matter, he’ll still be too good for this lot. He only had a mild virus which came right with treatment and he’s trained on well since. He feels pretty good and if I was betting man, I’d bet him for sure based on his last run, which was massive.”

Race 4: Sugar Ray Lincoln
7.32pm

“He’s in a ‘coming of age’ phase. He rushed up beside them last start and wanted to lay all over them and give them a hug. But that’s normal coltish behaviour. He does that in training as well, rushes up and switches off. He has a lot of ability but also a few little behaviour traits that we need to get on top of.”

Race 6: My Copy
8.24pm

“It won’t be easy from four on the second row but he’s very honest and, if opportunity knocks, he’ll be right there. If he gets a trip, he’s always ready to pounce.”

Race 9: Tyson
9.39pm

“He should be one of the favourites. The raw ability is there and he’ll definitely win races as he has a bit of speed. How far he will take us we have yet to find out but I thought he did really well last time given the run he had.”

Race Images - Harness