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Anthony Butt is sitting still as Copy That races away from Balraj, Rockin Marty and Spankem at Albion Park. PHOTO: Dan Costello.

Talking tactics with Ants: Three factors that could help Copy That capture the Rising Sun

Champion reinsman Anthony Butt says he’ll be driving Copy That with supreme confidence in Saturday night’s A$250,000 Rising Sun at Albion Park but his winning chances hinge on three critical elements.

  1. “I don’t want Krug getting an easy lead. If he only has to cruise the first 400 or 800 metres he’ll be awfully hard to beat.”
  2. “A lot depends on what happens to Expensive Ego from two on the second row - whether he gets boxed in.”
  3. “We need a fast pace and some luck from 13 - sometimes it’s a road block and other times things open up.”

Anthony Butt … big race expert who started driving in 1984.Anthony Butt … big race expert who started driving in 1984.Butt says he’s not one to get hung up on barrier draws so while his first thought on Copy That drawing the outside of the second row was ‘it could have been better’, “you don’t know if it’s a bad draw until after the race.

“Sometimes what appears to be a good draw can be a bad draw.”

Take Cran Dalgety’s Krug, for example. Gifted the pole under a condition of the new race that gives three-year-olds the two inside alleys, he looks a ready-made leader.

“But I’m sure there will be a bit of action up front. Hopefully Krug will have to do some work to hold the lead. Kowalski Analysis (gate four) is very fast out. Whether he can cross Krug is another thing but there’s sure to be plenty of early pressure.

“If you’re attacked you have to chuck all your eggs into one basket.”

Expensive Ego, who showed just how tough he is when a breezing second in King Of Swing’s 1:49.2 Miracle Mile, is a deserving favourite but if driver Luke McCarthy can’t extricate him early, he could be in trouble.

“He’s a good all round horse but he’s like Copy That from his draw - it’s in the lap of the gods.”

Copy That’s home stretch burst to win the Wondai’s Mate was unbelieveable, according to driver Anthony Butt. PHOTO: Dan Costello.Copy That’s home stretch burst to win the Wondai’s Mate was unbelieveable, according to driver Anthony Butt. PHOTO: Dan Costello.Butt, with 37 years’ experience in the cart, says it’s impossible to pre-plan your tactics.

“You just have to judge the tempo of the race and keep an eye on where the other good ones are around you. But it’s a quality field so I’m sure it will be run pretty solidly and I’ve seen plenty of big races where good horses have won from the back.”

Confidence booster

Butt says Copy That’s effort to do just that in last week’s Wondai’s Mate 1660 was a huge confidence booster for him.

“His run was unbelievable. Albion Park is a notoriously hard track to come from back and wide because the leaders get away. The track was also rain-affected and it’s hard to pick up speed on an off track.

“But he picked up speed so quickly. Not many horses I’ve driven could have done what he did.

“He had to come from the fence to four or five wide in a few strides. And because he was going at right angles so quickly he put in a rough step or two but his acceleration was explosive. That’s not easy to do.

“I was massively surprised he picked them up. It was a performance of real quality.”

Butt says it gave him a lot of satisfaction that Copy That showed such versatility.

“Everyone was saying he was only a front-runner but now I know I have more strings to my bow. It’s good for a driver when a horse does that, it gives you confidence because you know you’ve got options.”

While all the pundits are tipping Krug, Expensive Ego and Copy That, Butt says the chances don’t end there.

“There are another couple just below the favourites like Amazing Dream. If she gets a nice run (from three) and does no work, she’ll be hard to beat.”

Copy That, outer, rounds up his rivals with a brilliant home stretch burst. PHOTO: Dan Costello.Copy That, outer, rounds up his rivals with a brilliant home stretch burst. PHOTO: Dan Costello.

Dealer in with real Consolation shot

Copy That’s stablemate American Dealer might have disappointed his followers last week when only second but Butt gives him a real shot at winning the A$30,000 Rising Sun Consolation earlier in the night.

On first viewing, against only six three-year-olds, American Dealer seemed out of sorts, dropping off the back of the parked horse down the back straight, chased up, and failing to catch Kashed Up, who enjoyed the trail.

“He was real casual in the run - he’s laid back about everything - and got off the bit a couple of times, and I had to get the plugs out down the back.

“But I was pleased with how he got home in 27.7 and 26.9 and he hit the line really well.

“He’s the type of horse who’ll go better in the bigger races because he’ll follow a faster pace. That will take a bit of speed out of the others but it won’t worry him.”

Kashed Up clocked a mile rate of just 1:56.5 in the win, compared with the 1:53.3 American Dealer ran when downing Krug and company in a Sires’ Stakes heat last Ashburton last October.

“He just needs to travel a bit better mid-race. Hopefully after a race or two over here he’ll wake up a bit.”

Butt says American Dealer handled the track really well last week and got round the corners fine, unlike his debut effort on the course when, wearing longer hopples, his gait was a little rough.

“It’s an even bunch but he’s in with a good shot.”

American Dealer will re-engage wth Krug in his next two runs in the A$30,000 South East Derby (2138m) on July 17 and A$100,000 Queensland Derby (2680m) on July 24.

American Dealer races at 8.43pm NZ time at Albion Park on Saturday night.American Dealer races at 8.43pm NZ time at Albion Park on Saturday night.Copy That races at 9.45pm NZ time at Albion Park on Saturday night.Copy That races at 9.45pm NZ time at Albion Park on Saturday night.

Our runners this week: How our trainers rate them

Ray Green

Ray’s comments

Thursday night at Cambridge

Race 1: Major Achievement
5.19pm

“It’s his first race for a while and he hasn’t been setting the world on fire at the workouts. But he’s been racing better animals and this isn’t a stellar bunch. He’s a chance if things go his way. I’ve given Mathew Salaivao the drive.”

Race 1: Commander Lincoln
5.19pm

“He’s an average horse but the last time he raced here in amateur company he all but won. He’ll need luck from the second row but, while I couldn’t label him, he’s a runner’s chance.”

Race 5: Onyx Shard
6.59pm

“She got a bit sick for a while with a virus and I had to back off her. She seems over that now but I’m picking she’ll need a race. This will be like a glorified trial for her.”

Race 8: My Copy
8.14pm

“He came to the end of it so I gave him a little freshen-up and he seems in good shape again. It will be interesting to see how he goes fresh - he may need a race but he’ll appreciate the step-down in class. I’m running him here so he doesn’t come up against any bear cats first-up.”

Race 9: Lincoln Cove
8.47pm

“Hopefully he’s getting better but you’ve just got to take him on trust. He has ability but the desire has been sadly lacking. Zac will have to sit quietly on him as he broke when given only one tap with the stick last time. The small field will suit him as he won’t be too far off them. If he doesn’t make any mistakes, he’ll give them a fright.”

Ray Green

Ray’s comments

Friday night at Auckland

Race 3: Leo Lincoln
6.43pm

“Maurice said he would have finished a lot closer last time than sixth (fourth or even third) had he not locked wheels at the 100. That took all his momentum away. He’s been holding his form well and he gets out well enough to use the inside draw. He’s a chance to get some of the money.”

Race 5: Sugar Ray Lincoln
7.39pm

“He did have marks on his boot after his last run and trying a spreader on him has helped. But he’s a real baby. He has real ability but he’s still developing mentally and physically and we’re still finding our way with him.”

Race 5: Lincoln Lou
7.39pm

“He’s racing well but he’ll find it tough from the outside draw.”

Race 6: Debbie Lincoln
8.07pm

“I can’t see her improving enough to give the Purdon/Phelan trio a fright. She can go (fast) enough but still has a lot to learn. The main thing for her is getting round safely. She’s put two in a row now so hopefully she’ll start improving.”

Race 10: Lincoln La Moose
9.59pm

“He had an excuse last time - he got wiped out on the first corner and that was the end of his race. I like him, he’s a nice horse, just not quite as experienced as Frisco Bay.”

Race 10: Frisco Bay
9.59pm

“I lean towards Frisky as the better chance of our two. You can’t fault what he did the other night at Cambridge, and he seems to be on the improve. He’s more reliable than Lincoln La Moose.”

Mark Dux

Mark Dux’s comments

Saturday night at Albion Park

Race 6: Captain Nemo
9.40pm NZ time

“I rate him a good top three chance. I’m really happy with the horse. It’s a decent drop in grade for him and I think maybe we roll the dice, go forward, and take our chances. As long as he doesn’t have to burn stupidly off the gate, if he can find the top, they’ll know he’s in the race.”

Whales Harness