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Tommy terrific but he’ll need all the luck just to run a hole at Albion Park on Saturday night

Tommy Lincoln has only six rivals at Albion Park on Saturday night but such is the strength of the field he’ll be doing well just to run top four.

That, despite Tommy having resumed last week with a fine, albeit distant, second to track record-holder Blacksadance.

This week he faces not only Blacksadance, but also former New Zealand Cup winner Cruz Bromac, who is drawn to lead, former Lincoln Farms’ iron horse Northview Hustler and Will The Wizard.

Trainer Mark Dux is under no illusions about the task ahead of Tommy from the middle of the front row.

“But I think he’ll race well - I’m hoping he can run top three, or top four at worst. His run the other night was terrific and it will have done him good.”

In his first start for two months, Tommy enjoyed a one-one sit but still finished 19 metres astern of Blacksadance who clocked a sizzling 1:50.7 mile rate for the 1660 metres.

Tommy clocked closing quarters of 27.42 and 28.35, Dux saying driver Angus Garrard was forced to move three wide at the 400, earlier than he wanted because the one in front of him was going nowhere.

“They’ll run a similar time this week and that means you can’t do that much work in the run and still have a finish.

“It will all come down to how the race is run. If Cruz Bromac holds the lead, and Blacksadance is outside him, we could get the one-one.

“But if Cruz hands up, we’ll have to go four fence. I don’t want Tommy to be sitting parked if they go 1:50 something like last week. But even if we do end up four fence, he could still earn a good cheque.”

Dux said he didn’t believe there was a lot between the seven runners.

“The whole field can run 54 halves. You used to be able to sit in and dash late but you can’t any more because they’re running so fast. They’re running near track record times.

“But Tommy will always be competitive. It’s not often he doesn’t run a good race.”

Blacksadance’s track record mile rate of 1:50 flat was set back in April, when Northview Hustler ran second and Tommy Lincoln fourth from the pole.

Tommy Lincoln races at 11.50pm NZ time at Albion Park on Saturday night.Tommy Lincoln races at 11.50pm NZ time at Albion Park on Saturday night.

Our runners this week: How our trainer rates them

Ray Green

Ray’s comments

Friday night at Auckland

Race 4: Sammy Lincoln
6.45pm

“He’s always had ability, he’s just needed to be inspired. But he’s starting to get the idea and it’s not a big field this week. He’s getting money every week and is an each-way chance again.”

Race 5: Jessie Lincoln
7.11pm

“She got home better than anything last week and that was her first run for a while so you’d expect she’ll improve on that.”

Race 5: Omaha Lincoln
7.11pm

“He put in a couple of steps last week, reaching for his hopples. But we’ve pulled his gear up a bit tighter and hopefully that will fix that. You could argue he’s the best horse in the race but I wouldn’t say he stands over them as he’s still very green, and has a lot to learn, and that might hold him up a little bit. But he’s certainly a good winning chance.”

Race 6: Sugar Ray Lincoln
7.39pm

“I thought he went pretty well first-up. He did a lot of work early and should improve with the run.”

Race 8: Rivergirl Bella
8.37pm

“You can’t condemn her on last week’s run (when she broke) but this is a very strong race.”

Race Images - Harness