Zealand Star will have too much speed for his Cambridge rivals on Thursday night
On the back of a terrific Saturday workout, and facing inferior opposition, Zealand Star looks a cracking winning chance at Cambridge on Thursday night.
Zealand Star lines up in a rating 56 to 70 field in the eighth race as the sole rating 70 horse and meets horses who have been hacking their way round the January grass circuit, mostly without effect.
Lincoln Farms’ five-year-old, on the other hand, brings strong Auckland form to the table, his latest effort seeing him pace the second fastest sectionals on the night.
Most punters would have missed seeing it but on January 18, Zealand Star came from last with a sizzling closing lap, sprinting three wide in 54.5 and 26.4, only Auckland Cup starter Raptor’s Flight returning a 400 split one tenth of a second faster in running sixth.
Zealand Star’s last mile was the second fastest of the meeting, 1:57.2, and saw him finish fifth, closing to 1.5 lengths of runner-up Aha Reaction as smart winner Bettorstartdreaming clocked 2:40.8 for the 2200 metres.
None of Zealand Star’s rivals at Cambridge have the ability to match those times.
When Afortunado scored at Cambridge three starts back he clocked a moderate 2:44.8 and last start winners Bubble Gum and Reube Star beat poor opposition on the grass at Rotorua and Waipa.
Compare that with the horse who beat Zealand Star over 2050 metres at last Saturday’s Pukekohe workouts, rating 96 pacer Let’s Elope.
And when you consider Zealand Star pulled out to sit parked over the last 700 metres, and ran the 26-race winner to a neck, with closing sectionals of 56.8 and 26.1, it augurs well for Thursday night.
“He should smoke them,’’ says trainer Ray Green.
“He’s a beautiful big horse with very high speed and if we can get him to carry it a tad further he could do something special.’’
Green says Zealand Star has improved a lot since joining his Pukekohe stable and is now exciting owner Merv Butterworth, doing things he never expected.
“He should win on Thursday, and win easily, and that will be another confidence booster for him.’’
Zachary Butcher will still have to drive a good race on Zealand Star, however, as he’s a sit-sprinter, not a horse who can be driven aggressively in the early or middle stages.
But with only seven rivals, so long as he is not too far off them turning for home, his superior speed should see him run over the top of them. He did exactly that three starts back and was beaten less than a length when third to Bettorstartdreaming and My Generation two starts ago.
Butcher’s dad David won’t have to be quite so conservative on Phil Bromac in the second race, the three-year-old already having shown he can do it tough and still run in the money.
Last time out, on January 4, Phil Bromac was forced to race three wide for the last 1300 metres and still was beaten only a length and a neck.
The Washington VC gelding, who has placed at Cambridge in each of his three career starts, will start from three on the second line when scratchings come out.
“He’s at the mercy of the ones in front of him so he’s only a runner’s chance really,’’ says Green. “But if he can get a run through them, and get a bit of luck, he could win.’’
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Our runners this week
Saturday night at Albion Park
Our runners this week: How our trainer rates them
Friday night at Auckland
Race 2: Frisco Bay
“He obviously needed the run last week. He pulled his way round the field and sat outside the leader but he couldn’t cop a run like that first-up and got tired. The ability is there, whether he’s fit enough or not we’ll find out. But I expect him to go well, the three draw is much better than last week.”
Race 2: Lenny Lincoln
“He’ll probably need a race but he’s capable of running a slot. He’s unlucky not to have won a race, all three of his seconds were good. He’s got a bit better with each of his trials this time in and he got home well last Saturday, after coming widest on the turn.”
Race 3: Obadiah Dragon
“The way the race was run at Cambridge last week, his effort wasn’t bad at all. Moni (Monika Ranger) said he felt strong and, if he’d been a few slots closer, he would have been right in it. He’ll be improved for the run.”
Race 3: Leo Lincoln
“He’s very consistent - he’s only missed a couple of cheques. But he’s another just coming back and should improve with the run.”